City of CanningPopulation forecast
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City of Canning

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Canning is 15-19 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Canning depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration profile from 2006-2016 based on modelling to match 2016 Census based Estimated Resident Population (ERP) by age. From 2016 onwards:

  • Attraction of young adults (18-24 years), mainly students accessing accommodation in Wilson and Bentley close to Curtin University of Technology
  • Loss of young couples and, in the longer term a small loss of young families (0-4 and 25-34 years) seeking housing opportunities elsewhere
  • Loss of 'empty-nesters' and retirees (50-74 years)
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 299 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -22 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -234 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -225 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -195 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -189 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -353 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -328 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -318 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -114 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -329 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: -543 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 36 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 1,972 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 2,954 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 85 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 496 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -473 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 323 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 8 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -206 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -257 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -269 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -247 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -367 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -343 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -195 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 0 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -226 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -442 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -30 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 1,873 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 2,744 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 147 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 489 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -375 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 321 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 6 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -130 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -239 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -297 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -335 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -465 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -346 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -189 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 213 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: -45 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: -328 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: -149 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 1,412 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 2,590 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 307 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 503 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -116 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 299 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -22 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -234 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -225 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -195 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -189 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -353 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -328 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -318 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -114 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -329 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: -543 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 36 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 1,972 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 2,954 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 85 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 496 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -473 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 323 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 8 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -206 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -257 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -269 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -247 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -367 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -343 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -195 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 0 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -226 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -442 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -30 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 1,873 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 2,744 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 147 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 489 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -375 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 321 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 6 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -130 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -239 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -297 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -335 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -465 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -346 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -189 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 213 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: -45 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: -328 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: -149 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 1,412 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 2,590 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 307 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 503 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -116
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2018.
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