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City of Canada Bay CouncilPopulation forecast

Concord

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Concord indicate a 19.9% decrease in population under working age, a 20.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 5.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Canada Bay Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Concord - Total persons202120312041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 46714.67194.81,0975.3+427
5 to 99056.26844.51,0335.0+128
10 to 141,0577.37064.71,0385.0-19
15 to 199736.78485.61,0635.2+90
20 to 249156.31,0236.81,2876.3+372
25 to 297305.09286.21,3476.6+617
30 to 347245.08705.81,3596.6+636
35 to 398275.79546.31,5497.5+723
40 to 449956.81,0627.11,6878.2+692
45 to 491,0707.41,0386.91,4867.2+416
50 to 541,0527.21,0046.71,3236.4+271
55 to 591,0947.51,0186.81,2526.1+158
60 to 648295.79406.21,0765.2+247
65 to 697024.88996.09854.8+283
70 to 746694.67014.78684.2+199
75 to 794343.05673.87643.7+329
80 to 843602.54863.25702.8+210
85 and over5383.76004.07713.8+233
Total persons14,544100.015,046100.020,557100.0+6,012
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Concord was ages 55 to 59, which accounted for 7.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 198 and account for 6.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 1,062 persons.

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