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Campbelltown City CouncilPopulation forecast

Kearns

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Kearns is forecast to grow from 893 in 2016 to 933 in 2041, with the average household size falling from 3.23 to 3.09 by 2041.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Kearns. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
KearnsForecast year
Summary201620212026203120362041
Population2,8092,8152,8382,8362,8412,823
Change in population (5yrs)--623-24-18
Average annual change--0.04%0.16%-0.01%0.03%-0.13%
Households871883895904914915
Average household size3.233.193.173.143.113.09
Population in non private dwellings000000
Dwellings893903913923933933
Dwelling occupancy rate97.5497.7998.0397.9497.9698.07
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), April 2021.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Kearns was estimated to be 2,809 people. It is expected to increase by over 27 people to 2,836 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 0.10%. This is based on an increase of over 33 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 3.23 to 3.14 by 2026.

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