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Campaspe Shire CouncilPopulation forecast

Campaspe Shire Council

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Campaspe Shire Council indicate a 7.0% increase in population under working age, a 4.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Campaspe Shire Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Campaspe Shire Council - Total persons202120262036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,9685.12,3575.82,5685.8+600
5 to 92,2465.82,2595.62,6526.0+406
10 to 142,4796.42,5486.32,8166.4+337
15 to 192,2305.82,3425.82,4795.6+248
20 to 241,8974.91,9985.02,1454.9+248
25 to 291,9795.12,1305.32,2985.2+320
30 to 341,9505.12,1125.22,3165.3+366
35 to 391,9815.12,1185.32,3505.3+369
40 to 441,9115.02,1685.42,3935.4+481
45 to 492,3086.02,1805.42,5065.7+199
50 to 542,5726.72,5496.32,6696.1+97
55 to 592,7717.22,7996.92,7826.3+11
60 to 642,8987.52,9977.43,0817.0+184
65 to 692,6907.02,9237.23,0927.0+401
70 to 742,3376.12,4256.02,7396.2+402
75 to 791,8264.71,9834.92,2595.1+434
80 to 841,2743.31,3513.31,5703.6+296
85 and over1,2263.21,1092.71,2292.8+3
Total persons38,542100.040,348100.043,945100.0+5,402
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Campaspe Shire Council was ages 60 to 64, which accounted for 7.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 389 and account for 5.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 60 to 64 years, with a total of 2,997 persons.

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