Camden CouncilPopulation forecast
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Oran Park Precinct

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in Oran Park Precinct is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Camden Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Oran Park Precinct - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)71213.42,48510.72,3938.7+1,681
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)60711.43,33614.33,47212.6+2,865
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)3216.02,1269.12,6979.8+2,376
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)4478.41,8357.92,4678.9+2,020
Young workforce (25 to 34)1,34625.34,16417.93,71713.4+2,370
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)1,06420.06,31627.17,39326.7+6,330
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)3586.71,6487.13,08711.2+2,729
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)2955.58353.61,4885.4+1,192
Seniors (70 to 84)1683.14421.98082.9+641
Elderly aged (85 and over)130.21150.51370.5+124
Total persons5,331100.023,301100.027,660100.0+22,329

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 137 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2036: 808 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2036: 1,488 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2036: 3,087 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2036: 7,393 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2036: 3,717 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2036: 2,467 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2036: 2,697 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2036: 3,472 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 2,393 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 115 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 442 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 835 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 1,648 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 6,316 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 4,164 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 1,835 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 2,126 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 3,336 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 2,485 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 13 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 168 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 295 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 358 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 1,064 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 1,346 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 447 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 321 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 607 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 712
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 22 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2036: 366 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2036: 653 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2036: 1,439 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2036: 1,077 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2036: -447 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2036: 632 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2036: 572 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2036: 137 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: -92 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 102 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2026: 275 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2026: 540 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2026: 1,290 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2026: 5,252 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2026: 2,817 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2026: 1,388 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2026: 1,805 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2026: 2,729 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 1,773
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In Oran Park Precinct between 2016 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 6,307 (384.6%), and will comprise 34.1% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 916 (192.4%) and comprise 6.0% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 6,316 persons.

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