Camden CouncilPopulation forecast
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Narellan - Smeaton Grange

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Narellan - Smeaton Grange indicate a 51.2% increase in population under working age, a 52.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 38.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Camden Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Narellan - Smeaton Grange - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42617.03827.13376.3+76
5 to 92516.73897.23556.7+104
10 to 142366.33606.73486.5+112
15 to 192296.13596.73616.8+132
20 to 242957.93817.13676.9+72
25 to 292867.64017.53576.7+71
30 to 342747.33937.33346.3+60
35 to 392406.43466.43186.0+78
40 to 442235.93576.63306.2+107
45 to 492306.13316.23306.2+100
50 to 542145.73165.93476.5+133
55 to 592205.92765.13075.8+87
60 to 642205.92164.02604.9+40
65 to 691965.22184.12384.5+42
70 to 741243.32234.12083.9+84
75 to 791303.51633.01833.4+53
80 to 84671.81092.01623.0+95
85 and over591.61663.11783.3+119
Total persons3,756100.05,385100.05,320100.0+1,564

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 178 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 162 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 183 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 208 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 238 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 260 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 307 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 347 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 330 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 330 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 318 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 334 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 357 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 367 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 361 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 348 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 355 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 337 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 166 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 109 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 163 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 223 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 218 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 216 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 276 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 316 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 331 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 357 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 346 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 393 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 401 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 381 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 359 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 360 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 389 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 382 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 59 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 67 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 130 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 124 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 196 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 220 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 220 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 214 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 230 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 223 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 240 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 274 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 286 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 295 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 229 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 236 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 251 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 261
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 12 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 53 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 20 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: -14 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 20 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 44 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 32 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 31 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: -1 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: -28 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: -27 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -59 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: -44 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: -14 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 2 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: -12 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: -34 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: -45 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 107 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 42 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 32 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 99 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 22 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: -4 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 56 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 102 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 101 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 134 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 106 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 119 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 115 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 86 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 130 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 124 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 138 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 121
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Narellan - Smeaton Grange was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 7.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 5 to 9, which is expected to increase by 138 and account for 7.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 401 persons.

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