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Camden CouncilPopulation forecast

Lowes Creek Precinct

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Lowes Creek Precinct indicate a 3691.2% increase in population under working age, a 292.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 1775.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Lowes Creek Precinct is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Lowes Creek Precinct - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)275.31,19711.71,94910.0+1,922
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)418.11,38113.52,67713.7+2,635
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)428.27637.41,8719.6+1,830
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)5911.61,04910.21,7378.9+1,677
Young workforce (25 to 34)489.52,64225.83,12616.0+3,077
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)10721.02,24821.95,25827.0+5,151
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)8116.05565.41,6878.6+1,605
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)6512.72802.78184.2+753
Seniors (70 to 84)387.41211.23531.8+315
Elderly aged (85 and over)20.3110.1320.2+30
Total persons510100.010,248100.019,506100.0+18,996
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Lowes Creek Precinct was ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which accounted for 21.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages Young workforce (25 to 34), which is expected to increase by 2,593 and account for 25.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is Young workforce (25 to 34) years, with a total of 2,642 persons.

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