Camden CouncilPopulation forecast
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Harrington Park - Kirkham

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Harrington Park - Kirkham indicate a 4.4% decrease in population under working age, a 73.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 15.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Camden Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Harrington Park - Kirkham - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,0148.19126.47945.9-220
5 to 91,1259.01,0667.59046.8-221
10 to 141,1529.21,1688.29527.1-200
15 to 191,0538.51,1297.99347.0-119
20 to 246835.58966.37675.7+84
25 to 296215.06904.86374.8+16
30 to 347676.27445.26905.2-77
35 to 399277.49696.88346.2-93
40 to 441,2369.91,1007.78966.7-340
45 to 491,0058.11,1177.89327.0-73
50 to 547846.31,1408.09407.0+156
55 to 596495.29256.58946.7+245
60 to 644613.77365.28836.6+422
65 to 694173.35904.17325.5+315
70 to 742482.04323.05974.5+349
75 to 791911.53562.54663.5+275
80 to 84660.51811.32852.1+219
85 and over620.51431.02211.7+159
Total persons12,461100.014,293100.013,359100.0+898

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 221 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 285 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 466 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 597 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 732 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 883 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 894 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 940 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 932 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 896 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 834 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 690 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 637 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 767 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 934 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 952 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 904 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 794 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 143 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 181 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 356 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 432 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 590 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 736 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 925 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 1,140 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,117 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,100 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 969 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 744 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 690 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 896 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 1,129 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 1,168 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 1,066 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 912 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 62 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 66 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 191 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 248 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 417 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 461 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 649 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 784 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,005 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,236 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 927 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 767 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 621 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 683 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 1,053 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 1,152 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 1,125 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 1,014
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 79 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 104 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 111 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 165 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 142 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 147 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -31 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -200 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: -185 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: -204 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: -136 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -54 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: -53 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: -129 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -195 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: -217 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: -162 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: -119 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 81 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 115 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 165 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 184 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 173 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 275 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 276 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 356 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 112 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -136 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 42 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -23 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 69 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 213 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 76 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 16 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -59 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -102
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Harrington Park - Kirkham was ages 40 to 44, which accounted for 9.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 50 to 54, which is expected to increase by 356 and account for 8.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 1,168 persons.

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