Camden CouncilPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Grasmere - Ellis Lane - Cawdor - Bickley Vale - Cobbitty Hills

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Grasmere - Ellis Lane - Cawdor - Bickley Vale - Cobbitty Hills indicate a 11.3% increase in population under working age, a 25.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 6.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Camden Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Grasmere - Ellis Lane - Cawdor - Bickley Vale - Cobbitty Hills - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41363.32455.32325.0+96
5 to 92526.22756.02645.6+12
10 to 143127.62595.62886.2-25
15 to 192245.52856.22926.2+68
20 to 242616.42645.72355.0-26
25 to 291503.71403.11533.3+2
30 to 341102.71713.71563.3+46
35 to 391684.12204.82004.3+31
40 to 442726.72405.22465.3-26
45 to 492556.32545.52755.9+20
50 to 542746.73006.52836.1+10
55 to 592967.32675.82695.8-27
60 to 642345.72515.42695.7+35
65 to 692405.92705.92525.4+12
70 to 741764.32525.52645.7+88
75 to 791674.12625.72836.0+115
80 to 841834.52335.12775.9+94
85 and over3729.14169.04389.4+66
Total persons4,083100.04,604100.04,675100.0+592

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 438 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 277 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 283 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 264 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 252 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 269 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 269 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 283 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 275 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 246 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 200 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 156 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 153 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 235 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 292 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 288 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 264 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 232 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 416 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 233 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 262 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 252 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 270 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 251 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 267 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 300 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 254 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 240 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 220 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 171 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 140 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 264 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 285 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 259 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 275 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 245 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 372 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 183 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 167 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 176 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 240 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 234 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 296 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 274 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 255 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 272 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 168 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 110 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 150 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 261 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 224 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 312 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 252 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 136
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 22 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 44 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 21 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 12 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: -18 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 18 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 2 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -17 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 22 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: -21 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -15 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 12 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: -28 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 29 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: -11 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: -13 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 44 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 50 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 94 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 76 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 30 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 17 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -30 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 27 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -2 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -32 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 52 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 61 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -10 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 2 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 61 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -54 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 23 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 109
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Grasmere - Ellis Lane - Cawdor - Bickley Vale - Cobbitty Hills was ages 85 and over, which accounted for 9.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 109 and account for 5.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 85 and over years, with a total of 416 persons.

v19.09.08-1.0.0