Camden CouncilPopulation forecast
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Elderslie

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Elderslie indicate a 23.4% increase in population under working age, a 65.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 16.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Camden Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Elderslie - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45358.65877.74806.6-55
5 to 95368.66518.55207.2-16
10 to 144317.06158.15357.4+104
15 to 193876.25587.35227.2+135
20 to 244176.74195.54185.8+1
25 to 295008.13795.03665.0-134
30 to 345028.14666.13925.4-110
35 to 394527.35487.24386.0-14
40 to 444667.55477.24646.4-2
45 to 493846.25307.04876.7+103
50 to 543756.04816.34696.5+94
55 to 592874.64005.24446.1+157
60 to 643004.84025.34315.9+131
65 to 692193.53394.43745.2+155
70 to 741903.12953.93434.7+153
75 to 79941.52002.62793.8+185
80 to 841001.61411.81972.7+97
85 and over250.4660.91091.5+84
Total persons6,200100.07,622100.07,267100.0+1,067

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 109 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 197 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 279 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 343 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 374 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 431 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 444 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 469 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 487 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 464 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 438 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 392 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 366 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 418 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 522 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 535 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 520 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 480 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 66 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 141 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 200 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 295 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 339 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 402 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 400 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 481 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 530 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 547 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 548 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 466 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 379 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 419 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 558 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 615 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 651 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 587 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 25 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 100 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 94 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 190 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 219 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 300 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 287 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 375 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 384 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 466 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 452 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 502 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 500 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 417 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 387 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 431 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 536 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 535
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 43 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 57 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 79 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 48 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 35 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 29 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 43 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -12 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: -43 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: -83 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: -110 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -74 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: -13 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 0 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -36 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: -79 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: -130 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: -108 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 41 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 41 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 106 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 105 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 120 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 102 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 113 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 106 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 146 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 81 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 96 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -36 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -121 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 2 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 171 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 184 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 115 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 52
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Elderslie was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 8.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 184 and account for 8.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 651 persons.

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