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City of BrimbankPopulation forecast

Ardeer

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Ardeer is forecast to grow from 1,344 in 2021 to 1,624 in 2041, with the average household size falling from 2.47 to 2.41 by 2041.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in the City of Brimbank. The period 2021 to 2031, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
ArdeerForecast year
Summary20212026203120362041
Population3,2033,3323,4723,6093,753
Change in population (5yrs)--129140138144
Average annual change--0.79%0.83%0.78%0.78%
Households1,2431,3061,3721,4371,502
Average household size2.472.452.442.422.41
Population in non private dwellings129129129129129
Dwellings1,3441,4141,4841,5541,624
Dwelling occupancy rate92.4992.3692.4592.4792.49
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), July 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the total population of Ardeer was estimated to be 3,203 people. It is expected to increase by over 269 people to 3,472 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of 0.81%. This is based on an increase of over 129 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.47 to 2.44 by 2031.

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