City of BrimbankPopulation forecast
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Ardeer

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Ardeer indicate a 15.8% increase in population under working age, a 7.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 9.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Brimbank is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Ardeer - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42257.02466.92676.7+42
5 to 91875.82276.42386.0+51
10 to 141825.62156.02325.8+50
15 to 191524.72095.92345.9+82
20 to 242096.52386.72666.7+57
25 to 292888.92727.63047.6+16
30 to 3436411.32777.82967.4-68
35 to 392206.82787.82917.3+71
40 to 442447.62928.22766.9+32
45 to 491564.82146.02516.3+95
50 to 541564.82025.72215.5+65
55 to 591554.81514.22195.5+64
60 to 641434.41614.51914.8+48
65 to 691564.81414.01694.2+13
70 to 741133.51093.11233.1+10
75 to 79792.51273.61293.2+50
80 to 84702.2912.61092.7+39
85 and over1233.81113.11744.4+51
Total persons3,222100.03,562100.03,990100.0+768

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 174 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 109 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 129 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 123 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 169 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 191 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 219 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 221 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 251 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 276 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 291 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 296 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 304 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 266 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 234 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 232 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 238 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 267 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 111 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 91 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 127 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 109 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 141 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 161 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 151 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 202 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 214 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 292 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 278 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 277 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 272 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 238 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 209 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 215 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 227 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 246 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 123 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 70 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 79 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 113 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 156 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 143 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 155 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 156 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 156 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 244 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 220 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 364 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 288 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 209 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 152 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 182 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 187 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 225
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 63 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 18 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 2 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 14 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 28 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 30 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 69 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 19 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 36 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: -15 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 12 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 19 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 32 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 28 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 26 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 17 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 10 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 21 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: -12 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 21 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 48 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: -4 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: -15 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 18 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -4 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 46 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 58 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 48 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 58 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -87 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -16 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 29 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 57 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 33 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 40 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 21
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Ardeer was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 11.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 58 and account for 7.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 292 persons.

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