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City of BoroondaraPopulation forecast

Surrey Hills

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Surrey Hills indicate a 29.0% decrease in population under working age, a 48.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 0.3% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Boroondara is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Surrey Hills - Total persons202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43343.92552.93113.4-23
5 to 94565.42863.33473.8-109
10 to 146367.54725.44935.4-143
15 to 197699.17518.66687.3-102
20 to 245576.596511.08729.5+315
25 to 293704.45916.75696.2+199
30 to 344144.94154.74795.2+65
35 to 394665.54144.75075.5+41
40 to 444785.64535.25415.9+63
45 to 496788.05266.05796.3-99
50 to 547608.95135.95586.1-202
55 to 596437.65165.95075.5-136
60 to 645035.94795.54394.8-63
65 to 695336.34735.43904.2-143
70 to 743984.74615.34114.5+13
75 to 792172.64365.04244.6+207
80 to 841712.03724.24094.5+238
85 and over1171.43884.46857.5+568
Total persons8,500100.08,765100.09,190100.0+690
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Surrey Hills was ages 15 to 19, which accounted for 9.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 409 and account for 11.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 965 persons.

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