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City of BoroondaraPopulation forecast

Hawthorn East

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Hawthorn East indicate a 15.5% increase in population under working age, a 30.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 11.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Hawthorn East is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Hawthorn East - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 48385.59285.31,0045.2+166
5 to 98405.59495.51,0335.3+193
10 to 147214.78935.19815.0+260
15 to 197975.21,0145.81,1265.8+329
20 to 241,4729.71,5939.21,7749.1+302
25 to 291,86412.31,84310.62,03910.5+175
30 to 341,4549.61,5418.91,6908.7+236
35 to 391,1517.61,2967.41,4037.2+252
40 to 449886.51,1496.61,2516.4+262
45 to 498785.81,0596.11,1716.0+293
50 to 548065.39525.51,0745.5+268
55 to 597474.98384.89755.0+228
60 to 646914.57754.59004.6+209
65 to 696144.07154.18214.2+207
70 to 744783.16163.57093.6+231
75 to 793452.35002.95953.1+250
80 to 842381.63752.24842.5+246
85 and over2911.93592.14572.3+166
Total persons15,213100.017,393100.019,486100.0+4,273
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2020.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Hawthorn East was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 12.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 217 and account for 5.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 1,843 persons.

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