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Blacktown City CouncilPopulation forecast

Blacktown City Council

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Blacktown City Council indicate a 0.3% decrease in females under working age, a 33.0% increase in females of retirement age, and a 20.6% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Blacktown City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Blacktown City Council - Total females202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 414,9097.514,9026.417,8986.4+2,988
5 to 915,5547.814,7286.317,2076.1+1,653
10 to 1414,1517.114,8426.315,6835.6+1,533
15 to 1911,8505.915,6636.715,3485.5+3,498
20 to 2412,6986.416,3627.016,7056.0+4,007
25 to 2914,0307.015,9826.818,6656.6+4,634
30 to 3416,8598.518,2657.822,4268.0+5,566
35 to 3918,5329.319,4198.324,1408.6+5,608
40 to 4414,9587.519,3668.321,7857.8+6,826
45 to 4912,3546.217,7857.619,8957.1+7,541
50 to 5411,1065.613,9446.018,1906.5+7,084
55 to 5910,1095.111,5534.917,0746.1+6,965
60 to 649,1254.610,3784.415,0985.4+5,973
65 to 697,6303.88,7763.811,2804.0+3,649
70 to 746,3933.27,6173.38,7703.1+2,377
75 to 793,8992.06,0412.67,4112.6+3,512
80 to 842,5261.34,5962.05,8142.1+3,288
85 and over2,6811.33,7261.67,3362.6+4,655
Total persons199,363100.0233,944100.0280,721100.0+81,358
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), April 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Blacktown City Council was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 9.3% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 45 to 49, which is expected to increase by 5,431 and account for 7.6% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2031 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 19,419 females.

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