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Blacktown City CouncilPopulation forecast

Schofields

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Schofields indicate a 61.9% increase in males under working age, a 188.7% increase in males of retirement age, and a 87.6% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Blacktown City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Schofields - Total males202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 489111.51,1978.41,8977.9+1,006
5 to 980810.41,3149.22,0838.7+1,275
10 to 145697.31,1608.11,8227.6+1,252
15 to 194065.28816.21,4506.0+1,044
20 to 244345.67925.51,2375.1+803
25 to 294836.29336.51,3475.6+864
30 to 3485411.01,3089.21,9148.0+1,060
35 to 391,21215.61,53810.82,53210.5+1,321
40 to 4486111.11,55410.92,62210.9+1,762
45 to 494065.21,3079.22,1839.1+1,777
50 to 542713.57014.91,3745.7+1,103
55 to 591542.04002.89203.8+766
60 to 641401.83782.68333.5+693
65 to 691451.93342.36622.8+517
70 to 74690.92181.54361.8+366
75 to 79470.61340.92871.2+240
80 to 84140.2820.61910.8+177
85 and over90.1520.42351.0+225
Total persons7,774100.014,283100.024,025100.0+16,251
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), April 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Schofields was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 15.6% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 45 to 49, which is expected to increase by 901 and account for 9.2% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2031 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 1,554 males.

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