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Blacktown City CouncilPopulation forecast

Blacktown City Council

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Blacktown City Council indicate a 26.4% increase in males under working age, a 46.1% increase in males of retirement age, and a 20.3% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Blacktown City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Blacktown City Council - Total males201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 414,5708.418,1188.420,7008.2+6,130
5 to 914,2858.217,6728.220,1337.9+5,848
10 to 1412,2097.016,0957.418,6857.4+6,476
15 to 1912,4817.215,4297.117,9687.1+5,487
20 to 2412,7467.314,8276.917,4876.9+4,741
25 to 2912,9097.415,9807.418,1057.1+5,196
30 to 3414,2828.216,8507.819,0317.5+4,749
35 to 3914,0318.116,4367.619,0997.5+5,068
40 to 4412,5077.215,1727.017,5796.9+5,072
45 to 4910,9416.313,8186.416,0206.3+5,079
50 to 5410,2185.912,1975.614,3455.7+4,127
55 to 599,0405.210,4834.912,6515.0+3,611
60 to 647,5664.39,2564.310,9224.3+3,356
65 to 696,3753.77,8933.79,3013.7+2,926
70 to 744,2522.46,4083.08,0443.2+3,792
75 to 792,7481.64,8732.36,4232.5+3,675
80 to 841,6551.02,7161.34,2741.7+2,619
85 and over1,2190.71,8430.93,1221.2+1,904
Total persons174,034100.0216,066100.0253,889100.0+79,855
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for males in Blacktown City Council was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 8.4% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 3,886 and account for 7.4% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2026 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 18,118 males.

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