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Blacktown City CouncilPopulation forecast

Toongabbie

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Toongabbie indicate a 1.3% decrease in population under working age, a 30.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 14.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Blacktown City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Toongabbie - Total persons202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43216.43666.55086.5+186
5 to 93577.13426.14485.8+91
10 to 143446.93015.33714.8+27
15 to 193076.13376.03935.1+86
20 to 243306.63426.14165.4+85
25 to 293416.84618.26238.0+282
30 to 343396.85489.77559.7+416
35 to 394899.85229.37499.6+260
40 to 443937.94457.96007.7+207
45 to 493066.13656.54766.1+170
50 to 542975.93095.54696.0+173
55 to 592705.42815.04515.8+182
60 to 643226.42594.64405.7+118
65 to 691953.91933.43114.0+116
70 to 741783.61582.82212.8+44
75 to 791152.31462.61952.5+80
80 to 84591.21412.51491.9+90
85 and over340.71212.21922.5+158
Total persons4,996100.05,638100.07,768100.0+2,772
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), April 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Toongabbie was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 9.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 209 and account for 9.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 548 persons.

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