Blacktown City CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Blacktown City

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Blacktown City is forecast for the period from 2022 to 2026, which is expected to have a net increase of 41,913 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Blacktown CityForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--31,66534,13936,91139,416
Deaths--9,41310,59212,08713,718
Natural increase/decrease--22,25123,54724,82425,698
Net migration--17,72817,87614,2479,303
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--814490453453

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 6,573 2035 forecast population change: 7,466 2034 forecast population change: 7,072 2033 forecast population change: 7,172 2032 forecast population change: 7,171 2031 forecast population change: 7,352 2030 forecast population change: 7,881 2029 forecast population change: 7,848 2028 forecast population change: 8,167 2027 forecast population change: 8,277 2026 forecast population change: 8,155 2025 forecast population change: 8,538 2024 forecast population change: 8,276 2023 forecast population change: 8,460 2022 forecast population change: 8,485 2021 forecast population change: 8,661 2020 forecast population change: 9,617 2019 forecast population change: 8,288 2018 forecast population change: 7,802 2017 forecast population change: 6,426
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 5,198 2035 Natural increase: 5,169 2034 Natural increase: 5,140 2033 Natural increase: 5,111 2032 Natural increase: 5,081 2031 Natural increase: 5,047 2030 Natural increase: 5,015 2029 Natural increase: 4,972 2028 Natural increase: 4,922 2027 Natural increase: 4,868 2026 Natural increase: 4,816 2025 Natural increase: 4,768 2024 Natural increase: 4,713 2023 Natural increase: 4,651 2022 Natural increase: 4,598 2021 Natural increase: 4,542 2020 Natural increase: 4,471 2019 Natural increase: 4,431 2018 Natural increase: 4,403 2017 Natural increase: 4,404 2036 Total deaths: 2,877 2035 Total deaths: 2,810 2034 Total deaths: 2,744 2033 Total deaths: 2,676 2032 Total deaths: 2,611 2031 Total deaths: 2,547 2030 Total deaths: 2,481 2029 Total deaths: 2,417 2028 Total deaths: 2,352 2027 Total deaths: 2,290 2026 Total deaths: 2,230 2025 Total deaths: 2,171 2024 Total deaths: 2,115 2023 Total deaths: 2,064 2022 Total deaths: 2,013 2021 Total deaths: 1,963 2020 Total deaths: 1,924 2019 Total deaths: 1,878 2018 Total deaths: 1,836 2017 Total deaths: 1,813 2036 Total births: 8,075 2035 Total births: 7,979 2034 Total births: 7,883 2033 Total births: 7,787 2032 Total births: 7,691 2031 Total births: 7,594 2030 Total births: 7,496 2029 Total births: 7,389 2028 Total births: 7,274 2027 Total births: 7,157 2026 Total births: 7,046 2025 Total births: 6,939 2024 Total births: 6,828 2023 Total births: 6,715 2022 Total births: 6,611 2021 Total births: 6,505 2020 Total births: 6,395 2019 Total births: 6,309 2018 Total births: 6,239 2017 Total births: 6,217 2036 Natural increase: 5,198 2035 Natural increase: 5,169 2034 Natural increase: 5,140 2033 Natural increase: 5,111 2032 Natural increase: 5,081 2031 Natural increase: 5,047 2030 Natural increase: 5,015 2029 Natural increase: 4,972 2028 Natural increase: 4,922 2027 Natural increase: 4,868 2026 Natural increase: 4,816 2025 Natural increase: 4,768 2024 Natural increase: 4,713 2023 Natural increase: 4,651 2022 Natural increase: 4,598 2021 Natural increase: 4,542 2020 Natural increase: 4,471 2019 Natural increase: 4,431 2018 Natural increase: 4,403 2017 Natural increase: 4,404 2036 Total deaths: 2,877 2035 Total deaths: 2,810 2034 Total deaths: 2,744 2033 Total deaths: 2,676 2032 Total deaths: 2,611 2031 Total deaths: 2,547 2030 Total deaths: 2,481 2029 Total deaths: 2,417 2028 Total deaths: 2,352 2027 Total deaths: 2,290 2026 Total deaths: 2,230 2025 Total deaths: 2,171 2024 Total deaths: 2,115 2023 Total deaths: 2,064 2022 Total deaths: 2,013 2021 Total deaths: 1,963 2020 Total deaths: 1,924 2019 Total deaths: 1,878 2018 Total deaths: 1,836 2017 Total deaths: 1,813 2036 Total births: 8,075 2035 Total births: 7,979 2034 Total births: 7,883 2033 Total births: 7,787 2032 Total births: 7,691 2031 Total births: 7,594 2030 Total births: 7,496 2029 Total births: 7,389 2028 Total births: 7,274 2027 Total births: 7,157 2026 Total births: 7,046 2025 Total births: 6,939 2024 Total births: 6,828 2023 Total births: 6,715 2022 Total births: 6,611 2021 Total births: 6,505 2020 Total births: 6,395 2019 Total births: 6,309 2018 Total births: 6,239 2017 Total births: 6,217
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 1,376 2035 Total net migration: 1,844 2034 Total net migration: 1,932 2033 Total net migration: 2,061 2032 Total net migration: 2,090 2031 Total net migration: 2,305 2030 Total net migration: 2,413 2029 Total net migration: 2,876 2028 Total net migration: 3,245 2027 Total net migration: 3,409 2026 Total net migration: 3,338 2025 Total net migration: 3,317 2024 Total net migration: 3,563 2023 Total net migration: 3,809 2022 Total net migration: 3,849 2021 Total net migration: 4,081 2020 Total net migration: 4,481 2019 Total net migration: 3,820 2018 Total net migration: 3,361 2017 Total net migration: 1,984 2036 Total out migration: 44,107 2035 Total out migration: 43,518 2034 Total out migration: 42,923 2033 Total out migration: 42,322 2032 Total out migration: 41,720 2031 Total out migration: 41,094 2030 Total out migration: 40,460 2029 Total out migration: 39,784 2028 Total out migration: 39,079 2027 Total out migration: 38,371 2026 Total out migration: 37,680 2025 Total out migration: 37,010 2024 Total out migration: 36,317 2023 Total out migration: 35,604 2022 Total out migration: 34,879 2021 Total out migration: 34,149 2020 Total out migration: 33,360 2019 Total out migration: 32,638 2018 Total out migration: 31,977 2017 Total out migration: 31,422 2036 Total in migration: 45,482 2035 Total in migration: 45,362 2034 Total in migration: 44,855 2033 Total in migration: 44,383 2032 Total in migration: 43,811 2031 Total in migration: 43,399 2030 Total in migration: 42,872 2029 Total in migration: 42,659 2028 Total in migration: 42,324 2027 Total in migration: 41,780 2026 Total in migration: 41,018 2025 Total in migration: 40,327 2024 Total in migration: 39,880 2023 Total in migration: 39,412 2022 Total in migration: 38,728 2021 Total in migration: 38,231 2020 Total in migration: 37,841 2019 Total in migration: 36,458 2018 Total in migration: 35,338 2017 Total in migration: 33,407 2036 Total net migration: 1,376 2035 Total net migration: 1,844 2034 Total net migration: 1,932 2033 Total net migration: 2,061 2032 Total net migration: 2,090 2031 Total net migration: 2,305 2030 Total net migration: 2,413 2029 Total net migration: 2,876 2028 Total net migration: 3,245 2027 Total net migration: 3,409 2026 Total net migration: 3,338 2025 Total net migration: 3,317 2024 Total net migration: 3,563 2023 Total net migration: 3,809 2022 Total net migration: 3,849 2021 Total net migration: 4,081 2020 Total net migration: 4,481 2019 Total net migration: 3,820 2018 Total net migration: 3,361 2017 Total net migration: 1,984 2036 Total out migration: 44,107 2035 Total out migration: 43,518 2034 Total out migration: 42,923 2033 Total out migration: 42,322 2032 Total out migration: 41,720 2031 Total out migration: 41,094 2030 Total out migration: 40,460 2029 Total out migration: 39,784 2028 Total out migration: 39,079 2027 Total out migration: 38,371 2026 Total out migration: 37,680 2025 Total out migration: 37,010 2024 Total out migration: 36,317 2023 Total out migration: 35,604 2022 Total out migration: 34,879 2021 Total out migration: 34,149 2020 Total out migration: 33,360 2019 Total out migration: 32,638 2018 Total out migration: 31,977 2017 Total out migration: 31,422 2036 Total in migration: 45,482 2035 Total in migration: 45,362 2034 Total in migration: 44,855 2033 Total in migration: 44,383 2032 Total in migration: 43,811 2031 Total in migration: 43,399 2030 Total in migration: 42,872 2029 Total in migration: 42,659 2028 Total in migration: 42,324 2027 Total in migration: 41,780 2026 Total in migration: 41,018 2025 Total in migration: 40,327 2024 Total in migration: 39,880 2023 Total in migration: 39,412 2022 Total in migration: 38,728 2021 Total in migration: 38,231 2020 Total in migration: 37,841 2019 Total in migration: 36,458 2018 Total in migration: 35,338 2017 Total in migration: 33,407
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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