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Berrigan ShirePopulation forecast

Berrigan Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Berrigan Shire indicate a 1.9% decrease in males under working age, a 2.4% increase in males of retirement age, and a 5.0% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Berrigan Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

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Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Berrigan Shire - Total males202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)1954.52124.82194.6+24
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)3177.43006.83086.4-9
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)3377.93137.13166.6-21
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)2215.12335.32395.0+18
Young workforce (25 to 34)3658.53347.53477.2-18
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)63214.768515.570614.7+74
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)46310.855512.560512.6+142
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)74417.372616.483617.4+92
Seniors (70 to 84)85820.093121.11,04321.7+185
Elderly aged (85 and over)1603.71353.11893.9+29
Total persons4,292100.04,423100.04,809100.0+517
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), August 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Berrigan Shire was ages Seniors (70 to 84), which accounted for 20.0% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59), which is expected to increase by 92 and account for 12.5% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2031 is Seniors (70 to 84) years, with a total of 931 males.

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