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City of BelmontPopulation forecast

Ascot

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Ascot indicate a 44.1% increase in population under working age, a 1.5% decrease in population of retirement age, and a 18.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Belmont is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Ascot - Total persons202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41554.91574.22274.3+72
5 to 91294.01724.62364.4+107
10 to 14652.11744.72264.2+160
15 to 191785.61905.12344.4+56
20 to 242146.72356.32835.3+69
25 to 291705.43028.13997.5+228
30 to 342237.02787.54047.6+181
35 to 392156.82456.63847.2+169
40 to 441534.82737.33676.9+214
45 to 492217.02597.03436.4+121
50 to 542136.72095.63155.9+102
55 to 592447.72316.23436.5+99
60 to 642618.22586.93586.7+97
65 to 692086.52055.52885.4+80
70 to 741805.71754.72604.9+80
75 to 791043.31554.22524.7+148
80 to 841093.41123.02023.8+93
85 and over1394.4822.21983.7+59
Total persons3,183100.03,712100.05,319100.0+2,136
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Ascot was ages 60 to 64, which accounted for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 132 and account for 8.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 302 persons.

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