City of BelmontPopulation forecast
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Ascot

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Ascot indicate a 30.8% increase in population under working age, a 106.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 14.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Belmont is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Ascot - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41475.61795.22565.3+109
5 to 91154.41574.62194.6+104
10 to 14893.41233.61763.7+87
15 to 191515.71715.02595.4+108
20 to 241987.52286.73617.5+162
25 to 292017.62417.03787.9+177
30 to 341987.52296.73497.2+151
35 to 391746.62296.73447.1+170
40 to 441776.72136.23146.5+137
45 to 492067.82156.32956.1+88
50 to 541867.12086.12966.1+109
55 to 592047.82136.22876.0+82
60 to 641907.22056.02555.3+66
65 to 691696.41674.92144.5+45
70 to 741154.41674.92144.5+100
75 to 79782.91574.61883.9+111
80 to 84180.71313.81643.4+146
85 and over140.51925.62445.1+230
Total persons2,632100.03,424100.04,814100.0+2,182

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 244 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 164 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 188 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 214 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 214 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 255 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 287 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 296 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 295 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 314 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 344 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 349 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 378 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 361 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 259 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 176 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 219 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 256 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 192 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 131 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 157 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 167 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 167 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 205 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 213 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 208 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 215 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 213 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 229 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 229 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 241 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 228 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 171 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 123 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 157 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 179 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 14 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 18 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 78 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 115 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 169 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 190 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 204 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 186 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 206 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 177 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 174 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 198 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 201 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 198 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 151 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 89 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 115 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 147
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2041: 52 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2041: 34 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2041: 32 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2041: 47 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2041: 48 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2041: 50 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2041: 74 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2041: 87 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2041: 80 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2041: 101 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2041: 115 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2041: 120 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2041: 137 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2041: 132 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2041: 88 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2041: 53 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2041: 63 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2041: 77 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 178 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 112 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 79 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 53 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: -2 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: 15 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: 9 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: 22 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: 8 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 36 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: 55 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: 30 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: 40 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: 30 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: 20 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 34 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: 41 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 31
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Ascot was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 7.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 85 and over, which is expected to increase by 178 and account for 5.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 241 persons.

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