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Bega Valley ShirePopulation forecast

Bega Valley Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Bega Valley Shire indicate a 5.8% increase in females under working age, a 11.6% increase in females of retirement age, and a 2.2% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Bega Valley Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Bega Valley Shire - Total females202120262036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47524.28804.69614.6+209
5 to 99045.09284.91,0625.1+158
10 to 141,0155.61,0185.41,1235.4+108
15 to 198444.78864.79234.4+79
20 to 246233.57153.87523.6+129
25 to 297174.07794.18644.2+147
30 to 348314.69024.79944.8+162
35 to 398724.89294.91,0244.9+152
40 to 448684.89675.11,0615.1+193
45 to 491,0245.71,0075.31,1365.5+111
50 to 541,2256.81,1656.11,2446.0+19
55 to 591,5418.51,4807.81,4777.1-64
60 to 641,7839.91,7299.11,7008.2-83
65 to 691,5818.81,7739.31,7418.4+160
70 to 741,3817.71,4807.81,6528.0+271
75 to 798904.91,1546.11,4046.8+514
80 to 845973.36693.59474.6+350
85 and over5903.35502.97033.4+112
Total persons18,040100.019,011100.020,766100.0+2,726
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Bega Valley Shire was ages 60 to 64, which accounted for 9.9% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 264 and account for 6.1% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 1,773 females.

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