Bega Valley ShirePopulation forecast
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Eden Coast

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Eden Coast indicate a 4.7% increase in population under working age, a 45.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 10.5% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Bega Valley Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Eden Coast - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41945.01914.71934.5-1
5 to 91904.92095.12114.9+21
10 to 141955.12065.02124.9+17
15 to 191965.11654.01764.1-20
20 to 241554.01253.01323.1-23
25 to 291523.91493.61463.4-5
30 to 341774.61704.11714.0-5
35 to 391554.01814.41894.4+34
40 to 442035.21844.51894.4-13
45 to 492366.11794.41974.6-39
50 to 542887.52305.62255.2-63
55 to 593529.12856.92606.0-92
60 to 643539.13608.83357.8-18
65 to 693569.23899.53608.3+3
70 to 742346.13588.73798.8+146
75 to 791824.73408.33828.9+201
80 to 841142.91914.62836.6+169
85 and over1323.41994.82706.3+137
Total persons3,864100.04,112100.04,312100.0+448

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 270 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 283 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 382 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 379 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 360 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 335 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 260 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 225 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 197 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 189 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 189 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 171 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 146 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 132 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 176 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 212 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 211 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 193 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 199 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 191 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 340 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 358 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 389 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 360 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 285 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 230 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 179 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 184 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 181 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 170 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 149 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 125 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 165 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 206 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 209 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 191 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 132 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 114 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 182 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 234 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 356 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 353 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 352 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 288 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 236 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 203 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 155 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 177 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 152 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 155 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 196 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 195 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 190 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 194
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 71 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 92 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 42 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 21 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: -30 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -25 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -25 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -4 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 17 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 5 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 8 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 1 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: -3 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 7 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 11 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 3 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 2 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 67 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 77 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 158 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 125 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 33 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 7 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -67 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -59 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -56 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -19 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 26 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -7 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -3 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -30 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -31 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 11 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 19 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -3
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Eden Coast was ages 65 to 69, which accounted for 9.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 158 and account for 8.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 389 persons.

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