Bega Valley ShirePopulation forecast
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Bega District

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Bega District is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 427 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Bega DistrictForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--286289293302
Deaths--281303321346
Natural increase/decrease--5-13-27-44
Net migration--378320302290
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--44000

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 42 2035 forecast population change: 49 2034 forecast population change: 53 2033 forecast population change: 50 2032 forecast population change: 52 2031 forecast population change: 54 2030 forecast population change: 51 2029 forecast population change: 55 2028 forecast population change: 59 2027 forecast population change: 57 2026 forecast population change: 54 2025 forecast population change: 54 2024 forecast population change: 66 2023 forecast population change: 61 2022 forecast population change: 71 2021 forecast population change: 88 2020 forecast population change: 97 2019 forecast population change: 83 2018 forecast population change: 87 2017 forecast population change: 73
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: -10 2035 Natural increase: -10 2034 Natural increase: -9 2033 Natural increase: -8 2032 Natural increase: -7 2031 Natural increase: -7 2030 Natural increase: -6 2029 Natural increase: -5 2028 Natural increase: -5 2027 Natural increase: -4 2026 Natural increase: -4 2025 Natural increase: -4 2024 Natural increase: -3 2023 Natural increase: -2 2022 Natural increase: -1 2021 Natural increase: 0 2020 Natural increase: 1 2019 Natural increase: 1 2018 Natural increase: 2 2017 Natural increase: 1 2036 Total deaths: 72 2035 Total deaths: 71 2034 Total deaths: 70 2033 Total deaths: 68 2032 Total deaths: 66 2031 Total deaths: 66 2030 Total deaths: 65 2029 Total deaths: 64 2028 Total deaths: 63 2027 Total deaths: 62 2026 Total deaths: 62 2025 Total deaths: 62 2024 Total deaths: 61 2023 Total deaths: 59 2022 Total deaths: 59 2021 Total deaths: 57 2020 Total deaths: 57 2019 Total deaths: 57 2018 Total deaths: 55 2017 Total deaths: 55 2036 Total births: 61 2035 Total births: 61 2034 Total births: 60 2033 Total births: 60 2032 Total births: 60 2031 Total births: 59 2030 Total births: 59 2029 Total births: 59 2028 Total births: 58 2027 Total births: 58 2026 Total births: 58 2025 Total births: 58 2024 Total births: 58 2023 Total births: 58 2022 Total births: 58 2021 Total births: 58 2020 Total births: 58 2019 Total births: 57 2018 Total births: 57 2017 Total births: 56 2036 Natural increase: -10 2035 Natural increase: -10 2034 Natural increase: -9 2033 Natural increase: -8 2032 Natural increase: -7 2031 Natural increase: -7 2030 Natural increase: -6 2029 Natural increase: -5 2028 Natural increase: -5 2027 Natural increase: -4 2026 Natural increase: -4 2025 Natural increase: -4 2024 Natural increase: -3 2023 Natural increase: -2 2022 Natural increase: -1 2021 Natural increase: 0 2020 Natural increase: 1 2019 Natural increase: 1 2018 Natural increase: 2 2017 Natural increase: 1 2036 Total deaths: 72 2035 Total deaths: 71 2034 Total deaths: 70 2033 Total deaths: 68 2032 Total deaths: 66 2031 Total deaths: 66 2030 Total deaths: 65 2029 Total deaths: 64 2028 Total deaths: 63 2027 Total deaths: 62 2026 Total deaths: 62 2025 Total deaths: 62 2024 Total deaths: 61 2023 Total deaths: 59 2022 Total deaths: 59 2021 Total deaths: 57 2020 Total deaths: 57 2019 Total deaths: 57 2018 Total deaths: 55 2017 Total deaths: 55 2036 Total births: 61 2035 Total births: 61 2034 Total births: 60 2033 Total births: 60 2032 Total births: 60 2031 Total births: 59 2030 Total births: 59 2029 Total births: 59 2028 Total births: 58 2027 Total births: 58 2026 Total births: 58 2025 Total births: 58 2024 Total births: 58 2023 Total births: 58 2022 Total births: 58 2021 Total births: 58 2020 Total births: 58 2019 Total births: 57 2018 Total births: 57 2017 Total births: 56
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 52 2035 Total net migration: 58 2034 Total net migration: 62 2033 Total net migration: 58 2032 Total net migration: 59 2031 Total net migration: 61 2030 Total net migration: 57 2029 Total net migration: 60 2028 Total net migration: 64 2027 Total net migration: 61 2026 Total net migration: 57 2025 Total net migration: 58 2024 Total net migration: 70 2023 Total net migration: 63 2022 Total net migration: 73 2021 Total net migration: 65 2020 Total net migration: 75 2019 Total net migration: 82 2018 Total net migration: 85 2017 Total net migration: 72 2036 Total out migration: 479 2035 Total out migration: 476 2034 Total out migration: 472 2033 Total out migration: 469 2032 Total out migration: 466 2031 Total out migration: 463 2030 Total out migration: 460 2029 Total out migration: 457 2028 Total out migration: 454 2027 Total out migration: 451 2026 Total out migration: 448 2025 Total out migration: 446 2024 Total out migration: 443 2023 Total out migration: 441 2022 Total out migration: 436 2021 Total out migration: 433 2020 Total out migration: 429 2019 Total out migration: 423 2018 Total out migration: 418 2017 Total out migration: 416 2036 Total in migration: 531 2035 Total in migration: 534 2034 Total in migration: 534 2033 Total in migration: 528 2032 Total in migration: 525 2031 Total in migration: 524 2030 Total in migration: 516 2029 Total in migration: 517 2028 Total in migration: 518 2027 Total in migration: 511 2026 Total in migration: 506 2025 Total in migration: 504 2024 Total in migration: 512 2023 Total in migration: 503 2022 Total in migration: 509 2021 Total in migration: 498 2020 Total in migration: 503 2019 Total in migration: 506 2018 Total in migration: 503 2017 Total in migration: 488 2036 Total net migration: 52 2035 Total net migration: 58 2034 Total net migration: 62 2033 Total net migration: 58 2032 Total net migration: 59 2031 Total net migration: 61 2030 Total net migration: 57 2029 Total net migration: 60 2028 Total net migration: 64 2027 Total net migration: 61 2026 Total net migration: 57 2025 Total net migration: 58 2024 Total net migration: 70 2023 Total net migration: 63 2022 Total net migration: 73 2021 Total net migration: 65 2020 Total net migration: 75 2019 Total net migration: 82 2018 Total net migration: 85 2017 Total net migration: 72 2036 Total out migration: 479 2035 Total out migration: 476 2034 Total out migration: 472 2033 Total out migration: 469 2032 Total out migration: 466 2031 Total out migration: 463 2030 Total out migration: 460 2029 Total out migration: 457 2028 Total out migration: 454 2027 Total out migration: 451 2026 Total out migration: 448 2025 Total out migration: 446 2024 Total out migration: 443 2023 Total out migration: 441 2022 Total out migration: 436 2021 Total out migration: 433 2020 Total out migration: 429 2019 Total out migration: 423 2018 Total out migration: 418 2017 Total out migration: 416 2036 Total in migration: 531 2035 Total in migration: 534 2034 Total in migration: 534 2033 Total in migration: 528 2032 Total in migration: 525 2031 Total in migration: 524 2030 Total in migration: 516 2029 Total in migration: 517 2028 Total in migration: 518 2027 Total in migration: 511 2026 Total in migration: 506 2025 Total in migration: 504 2024 Total in migration: 512 2023 Total in migration: 503 2022 Total in migration: 509 2021 Total in migration: 498 2020 Total in migration: 503 2019 Total in migration: 506 2018 Total in migration: 503 2017 Total in migration: 488
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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