Bayside CouncilPopulation forecast
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Arncliffe Area

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Arncliffe Area will increase by an average of 85 dwellings per annum to 5,004 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the Bayside Council. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2017 onwards:

  • 108 Princes Highway - 234 dwellings (2020-2022)
  • 5-7 Eden Street - 16 dwellings (2021)
  • 213 Princes Highway - 254 dwellings (2021-2026)
  • Housing NSW site - 113 dwellings (2023-2027)
  • Low-high level of infill and other future sites development (3-90 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 5,004 2035 Total dwellings: 4,914 2034 Total dwellings: 4,824 2033 Total dwellings: 4,734 2032 Total dwellings: 4,644 2031 Total dwellings: 4,554 2030 Total dwellings: 4,464 2029 Total dwellings: 4,374 2028 Total dwellings: 4,284 2027 Total dwellings: 4,194 2026 Total dwellings: 4,101 2025 Total dwellings: 3,997 2024 Total dwellings: 3,882 2023 Total dwellings: 3,777 2022 Total dwellings: 3,677 2021 Total dwellings: 3,543 2020 Total dwellings: 3,414 2019 Total dwellings: 3,326 2018 Total dwellings: 3,320 2017 Total dwellings: 3,314 2036 Total dwellings: 5,004 2035 Total dwellings: 4,914 2034 Total dwellings: 4,824 2033 Total dwellings: 4,734 2032 Total dwellings: 4,644 2031 Total dwellings: 4,554 2030 Total dwellings: 4,464 2029 Total dwellings: 4,374 2028 Total dwellings: 4,284 2027 Total dwellings: 4,194 2026 Total dwellings: 4,101 2025 Total dwellings: 3,997 2024 Total dwellings: 3,882 2023 Total dwellings: 3,777 2022 Total dwellings: 3,677 2021 Total dwellings: 3,543 2020 Total dwellings: 3,414 2019 Total dwellings: 3,326 2018 Total dwellings: 3,320 2017 Total dwellings: 3,314 2036 Forecast development: 90 2035 Forecast development: 90 2034 Forecast development: 90 2033 Forecast development: 90 2032 Forecast development: 90 2031 Forecast development: 90 2030 Forecast development: 90 2029 Forecast development: 90 2028 Forecast development: 90 2027 Forecast development: 93 2026 Forecast development: 104 2025 Forecast development: 115 2024 Forecast development: 105 2023 Forecast development: 100 2022 Forecast development: 134 2021 Forecast development: 129 2020 Forecast development: 88 2019 Forecast development: 6 2018 Forecast development: 6 2017 Forecast development: 5
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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