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Bayside CouncilPopulation forecast

Wolli Creek - Bonar Street Precinct

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Wolli Creek - Bonar Street Precinct indicate a 159.4% increase in population under working age, a 95.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 94.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wolli Creek - Bonar Street Precinct is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Wolli Creek - Bonar Street Precinct - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)5306.01,2547.01,2556.7+725
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)1872.16063.48064.3+619
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)1151.31811.02981.6+182
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)1,52417.22,67415.02,43413.0+910
Young workforce (25 to 34)4,24147.87,85043.97,05037.5+2,809
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)1,49816.93,88821.74,92426.2+3,427
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)4044.56903.91,0995.9+695
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)2753.14232.45172.8+242
Seniors (70 to 84)830.92771.63431.8+260
Elderly aged (85 and over)200.2380.2500.3+30
Total persons8,877100.017,880100.018,776100.0+9,899
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Wolli Creek - Bonar Street Precinct was ages Young workforce (25 to 34), which accounted for 47.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages Young workforce (25 to 34), which is expected to increase by 3,609 and account for 43.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is Young workforce (25 to 34) years, with a total of 7,850 persons.

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