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Arncliffe Area

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Arncliffe Area is forecast for the period from 2022 to 2026, which is expected to have a net increase of 1,620 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Arncliffe AreaForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--8499191,0141,095
Deaths--312324347369
Natural increase/decrease--536595667727
Net migration--1911,026535489
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--0000

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 240 2035 forecast population change: 244 2034 forecast population change: 244 2033 forecast population change: 246 2032 forecast population change: 242 2031 forecast population change: 247 2030 forecast population change: 241 2029 forecast population change: 239 2028 forecast population change: 231 2027 forecast population change: 244 2026 forecast population change: 280 2025 forecast population change: 330 2024 forecast population change: 308 2023 forecast population change: 291 2022 forecast population change: 412 2021 forecast population change: 385 2020 forecast population change: 296 2019 forecast population change: 12 2018 forecast population change: 20 2017 forecast population change: 14
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 150 2035 Natural increase: 147 2034 Natural increase: 145 2033 Natural increase: 143 2032 Natural increase: 141 2031 Natural increase: 138 2030 Natural increase: 135 2029 Natural increase: 133 2028 Natural increase: 131 2027 Natural increase: 129 2026 Natural increase: 126 2025 Natural increase: 122 2024 Natural increase: 119 2023 Natural increase: 116 2022 Natural increase: 111 2021 Natural increase: 106 2020 Natural increase: 103 2019 Natural increase: 107 2018 Natural increase: 110 2017 Natural increase: 112 2036 Total deaths: 76 2035 Total deaths: 75 2034 Total deaths: 74 2033 Total deaths: 73 2032 Total deaths: 72 2031 Total deaths: 71 2030 Total deaths: 71 2029 Total deaths: 69 2028 Total deaths: 69 2027 Total deaths: 68 2026 Total deaths: 67 2025 Total deaths: 66 2024 Total deaths: 65 2023 Total deaths: 64 2022 Total deaths: 63 2021 Total deaths: 62 2020 Total deaths: 61 2019 Total deaths: 62 2018 Total deaths: 63 2017 Total deaths: 65 2036 Total births: 226 2035 Total births: 222 2034 Total births: 219 2033 Total births: 216 2032 Total births: 212 2031 Total births: 209 2030 Total births: 206 2029 Total births: 203 2028 Total births: 200 2027 Total births: 197 2026 Total births: 193 2025 Total births: 188 2024 Total births: 184 2023 Total births: 180 2022 Total births: 174 2021 Total births: 168 2020 Total births: 164 2019 Total births: 168 2018 Total births: 172 2017 Total births: 177 2036 Natural increase: 150 2035 Natural increase: 147 2034 Natural increase: 145 2033 Natural increase: 143 2032 Natural increase: 141 2031 Natural increase: 138 2030 Natural increase: 135 2029 Natural increase: 133 2028 Natural increase: 131 2027 Natural increase: 129 2026 Natural increase: 126 2025 Natural increase: 122 2024 Natural increase: 119 2023 Natural increase: 116 2022 Natural increase: 111 2021 Natural increase: 106 2020 Natural increase: 103 2019 Natural increase: 107 2018 Natural increase: 110 2017 Natural increase: 112 2036 Total deaths: 76 2035 Total deaths: 75 2034 Total deaths: 74 2033 Total deaths: 73 2032 Total deaths: 72 2031 Total deaths: 71 2030 Total deaths: 71 2029 Total deaths: 69 2028 Total deaths: 69 2027 Total deaths: 68 2026 Total deaths: 67 2025 Total deaths: 66 2024 Total deaths: 65 2023 Total deaths: 64 2022 Total deaths: 63 2021 Total deaths: 62 2020 Total deaths: 61 2019 Total deaths: 62 2018 Total deaths: 63 2017 Total deaths: 65 2036 Total births: 226 2035 Total births: 222 2034 Total births: 219 2033 Total births: 216 2032 Total births: 212 2031 Total births: 209 2030 Total births: 206 2029 Total births: 203 2028 Total births: 200 2027 Total births: 197 2026 Total births: 193 2025 Total births: 188 2024 Total births: 184 2023 Total births: 180 2022 Total births: 174 2021 Total births: 168 2020 Total births: 164 2019 Total births: 168 2018 Total births: 172 2017 Total births: 177
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 90 2035 Total net migration: 97 2034 Total net migration: 98 2033 Total net migration: 103 2032 Total net migration: 102 2031 Total net migration: 109 2030 Total net migration: 105 2029 Total net migration: 106 2028 Total net migration: 100 2027 Total net migration: 115 2026 Total net migration: 154 2025 Total net migration: 207 2024 Total net migration: 189 2023 Total net migration: 175 2022 Total net migration: 301 2021 Total net migration: 280 2020 Total net migration: 194 2019 Total net migration: -95 2018 Total net migration: -89 2017 Total net migration: -98 2036 Total out migration: 1,246 2035 Total out migration: 1,225 2034 Total out migration: 1,205 2033 Total out migration: 1,184 2032 Total out migration: 1,164 2031 Total out migration: 1,142 2030 Total out migration: 1,122 2029 Total out migration: 1,102 2028 Total out migration: 1,083 2027 Total out migration: 1,062 2026 Total out migration: 1,037 2025 Total out migration: 1,006 2024 Total out migration: 978 2023 Total out migration: 952 2022 Total out migration: 912 2021 Total out migration: 876 2020 Total out migration: 840 2019 Total out migration: 844 2018 Total out migration: 848 2017 Total out migration: 841 2036 Total in migration: 1,337 2035 Total in migration: 1,322 2034 Total in migration: 1,303 2033 Total in migration: 1,286 2032 Total in migration: 1,265 2031 Total in migration: 1,251 2030 Total in migration: 1,227 2029 Total in migration: 1,208 2028 Total in migration: 1,183 2027 Total in migration: 1,177 2026 Total in migration: 1,191 2025 Total in migration: 1,214 2024 Total in migration: 1,167 2023 Total in migration: 1,127 2022 Total in migration: 1,213 2021 Total in migration: 1,155 2020 Total in migration: 1,034 2019 Total in migration: 749 2018 Total in migration: 759 2017 Total in migration: 743 2036 Total net migration: 90 2035 Total net migration: 97 2034 Total net migration: 98 2033 Total net migration: 103 2032 Total net migration: 102 2031 Total net migration: 109 2030 Total net migration: 105 2029 Total net migration: 106 2028 Total net migration: 100 2027 Total net migration: 115 2026 Total net migration: 154 2025 Total net migration: 207 2024 Total net migration: 189 2023 Total net migration: 175 2022 Total net migration: 301 2021 Total net migration: 280 2020 Total net migration: 194 2019 Total net migration: -95 2018 Total net migration: -89 2017 Total net migration: -98 2036 Total out migration: 1,246 2035 Total out migration: 1,225 2034 Total out migration: 1,205 2033 Total out migration: 1,184 2032 Total out migration: 1,164 2031 Total out migration: 1,142 2030 Total out migration: 1,122 2029 Total out migration: 1,102 2028 Total out migration: 1,083 2027 Total out migration: 1,062 2026 Total out migration: 1,037 2025 Total out migration: 1,006 2024 Total out migration: 978 2023 Total out migration: 952 2022 Total out migration: 912 2021 Total out migration: 876 2020 Total out migration: 840 2019 Total out migration: 844 2018 Total out migration: 848 2017 Total out migration: 841 2036 Total in migration: 1,337 2035 Total in migration: 1,322 2034 Total in migration: 1,303 2033 Total in migration: 1,286 2032 Total in migration: 1,265 2031 Total in migration: 1,251 2030 Total in migration: 1,227 2029 Total in migration: 1,208 2028 Total in migration: 1,183 2027 Total in migration: 1,177 2026 Total in migration: 1,191 2025 Total in migration: 1,214 2024 Total in migration: 1,167 2023 Total in migration: 1,127 2022 Total in migration: 1,213 2021 Total in migration: 1,155 2020 Total in migration: 1,034 2019 Total in migration: 749 2018 Total in migration: 759 2017 Total in migration: 743
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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