City of BaysidePopulation forecast
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Cheltenham

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in Cheltenham is 'Seniors (70 to 84)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Bayside is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Cheltenham - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)2707.22836.13266.0+56
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)3258.63587.74057.4+80
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)2596.93026.53346.1+75
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)2657.14078.84508.2+184
Young workforce (25 to 34)47212.546610.057510.5+103
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)81421.61,02422.11,16121.2+347
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)46612.458112.568712.6+221
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)41211.052511.362511.4+213
Seniors (70 to 84)3689.858612.675413.8+385
Elderly aged (85 and over)1082.91112.41562.9+48
Total persons3,760100.04,642100.05,472100.0+1,712

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 156 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2036: 754 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2036: 625 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2036: 687 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2036: 1,161 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2036: 575 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2036: 450 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2036: 334 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2036: 405 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 326 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 111 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 586 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 525 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 581 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 1,024 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 466 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 407 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 302 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 358 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 283 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 108 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 368 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 412 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 466 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 814 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 472 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 265 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 259 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 325 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 270
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 46 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2036: 168 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2036: 101 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2036: 106 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2036: 138 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2036: 108 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2036: 43 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2036: 32 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2036: 47 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 43 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 2 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2026: 218 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2026: 112 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2026: 115 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2026: 210 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2026: -5 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2026: 141 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2026: 43 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2026: 33 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 13
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In Cheltenham between 2016 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 89 (10.4%), and will comprise 20.3% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 334 (37.6%) and comprise 26.3% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 1,024 persons.

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