City of BaysidePopulation forecast
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Cheltenham

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Cheltenham indicate a 5.5% increase in population under working age, a 45.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 23.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Bayside is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Cheltenham - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42707.22836.13266.0+56
5 to 92456.52655.72995.5+53
10 to 142366.32445.22664.9+30
15 to 191734.62685.83015.5+129
20 to 241955.22906.33225.9+128
25 to 292175.82224.82745.0+57
30 to 342556.82445.33015.5+46
35 to 392556.83317.13817.0+126
40 to 442757.33657.94027.3+128
45 to 492847.63287.13786.9+94
50 to 542256.02876.23506.4+125
55 to 592416.42946.33376.2+96
60 to 642286.12625.63135.7+84
65 to 691844.92635.73125.7+128
70 to 741794.82475.32845.2+105
75 to 791072.81854.02544.6+147
80 to 84832.21553.32153.9+133
85 and over1082.91112.41562.9+48
Total persons3,760100.04,642100.05,472100.0+1,712

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 156 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 215 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 254 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 284 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 312 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 313 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 337 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 350 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 378 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 402 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 381 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 301 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 274 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 322 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 301 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 266 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 299 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 326 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 111 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 155 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 185 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 247 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 263 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 262 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 294 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 287 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 328 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 365 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 331 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 244 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 222 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 290 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 268 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 244 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 265 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 283 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 108 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 83 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 107 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 179 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 184 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 228 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 241 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 225 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 284 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 275 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 255 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 255 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 217 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 195 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 173 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 236 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 245 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 270
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 46 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 61 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 69 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 37 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 50 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 51 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 43 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 63 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 51 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 37 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 50 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 56 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 52 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 32 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 34 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 22 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 34 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 43 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 2 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 72 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 78 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 68 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 79 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 33 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 53 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 62 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 43 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 91 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 76 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -10 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 5 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 96 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 95 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 7 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 19 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 13
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Cheltenham was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 7.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 96 and account for 6.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 365 persons.

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