City of BaysidePopulation forecast
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Brighton East

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Brighton East indicate a 10.1% decrease in population under working age, a 22.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 2.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Bayside is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Brighton East - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 49005.58194.88604.9-40
5 to 91,2687.71,0466.11,0776.1-191
10 to 141,2367.51,1947.01,1886.8-48
15 to 191,0696.51,2577.41,1796.7+110
20 to 248535.21,0226.01,0155.8+162
25 to 296293.87224.27834.5+154
30 to 346714.16924.17444.2+73
35 to 398865.49115.39605.5+74
40 to 441,2557.61,1716.91,2056.9-50
45 to 491,4048.51,1836.91,2096.9-196
50 to 541,2627.71,1997.01,1666.6-96
55 to 591,1316.91,1606.81,0395.9-91
60 to 648965.41,0075.99785.6+83
65 to 698195.09435.59775.6+158
70 to 746503.97824.68815.0+231
75 to 794933.06924.18124.6+318
80 to 843842.35463.26543.7+270
85 and over6554.07114.28214.7+166
Total persons16,460100.017,057100.017,547100.0+1,087

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 821 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 654 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 812 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 881 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 977 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 978 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 1,039 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 1,166 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 1,209 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 1,205 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 960 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 744 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 783 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 1,015 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 1,179 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 1,188 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 1,077 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 860 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 711 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 546 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 692 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 782 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 943 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 1,007 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 1,160 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 1,199 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,183 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,171 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 911 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 692 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 722 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,022 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 1,257 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 1,194 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 1,046 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 819 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 655 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 384 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 493 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 650 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 819 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 896 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 1,131 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 1,262 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,404 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,255 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 886 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 671 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 629 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 853 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 1,069 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 1,236 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 1,268 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 900
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 109 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 109 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 120 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 99 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 34 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -28 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -120 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -33 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 26 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 34 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 48 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 52 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 61 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: -7 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -78 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: -7 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 32 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 41 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 57 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 162 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 198 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 132 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 124 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 111 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 29 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -63 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -222 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -84 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 26 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 21 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 93 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 169 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 188 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -42 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -223 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -81
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Brighton East was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 8.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 198 and account for 4.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 1,257 persons.

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