City of BaysidePopulation forecast
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Brighton

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in Brighton is 'Seniors (70 to 84)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Bayside is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Brighton - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)1,2054.81,3155.01,3834.9+178
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)2,1478.62,1458.12,2378.0+90
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)1,9807.91,9047.22,0107.2+30
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)1,9497.82,0827.92,0847.4+134
Young workforce (25 to 34)2,3589.42,2078.32,3318.3-27
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)4,85719.54,84918.35,06218.1+205
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)3,69614.83,65113.83,64213.0-55
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)3,05012.23,42912.93,47712.4+426
Seniors (70 to 84)2,71210.93,87414.64,45315.9+1,741
Elderly aged (85 and over)1,0014.01,0554.01,3654.9+363
Total persons24,956100.026,511100.028,042100.0+3,086

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 1,365 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2036: 4,453 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2036: 3,477 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2036: 3,642 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2036: 5,062 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2036: 2,331 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2036: 2,084 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2036: 2,010 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2036: 2,237 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 1,383 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 1,055 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 3,874 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 3,429 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 3,651 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 4,849 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 2,207 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 2,082 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 1,904 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 2,145 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 1,315 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 1,001 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 2,712 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 3,050 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 3,696 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 4,857 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 2,358 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 1,949 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 1,980 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 2,147 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 1,205
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 310 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2036: 579 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2036: 47 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2036: -9 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2036: 213 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2036: 124 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2036: 2 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2036: 107 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2036: 92 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 68 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 54 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2026: 1,162 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2026: 379 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2026: -46 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2026: -8 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2026: -151 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2026: 133 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2026: -76 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2026: -2 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 110
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In Brighton between 2016 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 32 (0.6%), and will comprise 20.2% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 1,595 (23.6%) and comprise 31.5% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 4,849 persons.

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