City of BaysidePopulation forecast
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Brighton East

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in Brighton East is 'Seniors (70 to 84)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Bayside is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Brighton East - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)9005.58194.88604.9-40
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)1,80210.91,5078.81,5458.8-257
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)1,3938.51,4908.71,4388.2+45
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)1,2317.51,5228.91,4768.4+245
Young workforce (25 to 34)1,3007.91,4148.31,5278.7+228
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)3,54521.53,26519.13,37319.2-172
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)2,39314.52,35913.82,20612.6-187
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)1,71510.41,95011.41,95611.1+241
Seniors (70 to 84)1,5279.32,01911.82,34713.4+820
Elderly aged (85 and over)6554.07114.28214.7+166
Total persons16,460100.017,057100.017,547100.0+1,087

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 821 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2036: 2,347 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2036: 1,956 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2036: 2,206 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2036: 3,373 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2036: 1,527 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2036: 1,476 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2036: 1,438 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2036: 1,545 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 860 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 711 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 2,019 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 1,950 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 2,359 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 3,265 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 1,414 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 1,522 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 1,490 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 1,507 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 819 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 655 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 1,527 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 1,715 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 2,393 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 3,545 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 1,300 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 1,231 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 1,393 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 1,802 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 900
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 109 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2036: 328 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2036: 5 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2036: -154 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2036: 108 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2036: 113 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2036: -46 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2036: -52 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2036: 38 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 41 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 57 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2026: 492 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2026: 235 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2026: -34 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2026: -280 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2026: 114 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2026: 291 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2026: 96 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2026: -295 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -81
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In Brighton East between 2016 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to decrease by 279 (6.8%), and will comprise 22.4% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 783 (20.1%) and comprise 27.4% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 3,265 persons.

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