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Baw Baw ShirePopulation forecast

Longwarry - Longwarry North

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Longwarry - Longwarry North is forecast to grow from 1,240 in 2021 to 1,851 in 2041, with the average household size falling from 2.57 to 2.52 by 2041.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Baw Baw Shire. The period 2021 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Longwarry - Longwarry NorthForecast year
Summary20212026203120362041
Population2,9963,3763,7144,0464,382
Change in population (5yrs)--380337332336
Average annual change--2.42%1.92%1.73%1.61%
Households1,1621,3131,4551,5961,737
Average household size2.572.572.552.532.52
Population in non private dwellings66666
Dwellings1,2401,4011,5511,7011,851
Dwelling occupancy rate93.7193.7293.8193.8393.84
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the total population of Longwarry - Longwarry North was estimated to be 2,996 people. It is expected to increase by over 718 people to 3,714 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 4.39%. This is based on an increase of over 293 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.57 to 2.55 by 2026.

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