Baw Baw ShirePopulation forecast
Skip to content

Warragul

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in Warragul is 'Young workforce (25 to 34)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Baw Baw Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Warragul - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)8975.91,2266.21,8066.2+909
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)1,3659.01,7598.92,6389.0+1,274
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)1,1557.71,4377.22,1437.4+988
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)1,2688.41,6868.52,4268.3+1,158
Young workforce (25 to 34)1,74511.62,57212.93,73512.8+1,990
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)2,63817.53,37817.05,10717.5+2,470
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)1,91412.72,31711.73,27811.2+1,364
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)1,87712.42,27011.43,17110.9+1,294
Seniors (70 to 84)1,83812.22,63013.23,82313.1+1,985
Elderly aged (85 and over)3992.65943.01,0303.5+631
Total persons15,096100.019,870100.029,158100.0+14,062

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2019.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 1,030 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2041: 3,823 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2041: 3,171 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2041: 3,278 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2041: 5,107 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2041: 3,735 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2041: 2,426 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2041: 2,143 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2041: 2,638 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 1,806 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 594 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 2,630 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 2,270 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 2,317 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 3,378 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 2,572 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 1,686 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 1,437 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 1,759 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 1,226 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 399 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 1,838 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 1,877 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 1,914 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 2,638 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 1,745 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 1,268 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 1,155 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 1,365 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 897
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 436 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2041: 1,193 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2041: 900 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2041: 960 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2041: 1,730 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2041: 1,163 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2041: 741 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2041: 707 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2041: 879 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 580 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 195 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2026: 793 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2026: 394 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2026: 404 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2026: 740 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2026: 827 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2026: 417 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2026: 282 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2026: 395 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 328
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.

Key findings

In Warragul between 2016 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 1,005 (29.4%), and will comprise 22.3% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 1,380 (33.5%) and comprise 27.7% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 3,378 persons.

v19.11.15-1.0.0