Baw Baw ShirePopulation forecast
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Baw Baw Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in Baw Baw Shire is 'Seniors (70 to 84)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Baw Baw Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Baw Baw Shire - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)3,1386.43,9546.45,4516.5+2,313
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)4,7279.65,8749.58,0869.6+3,359
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)3,6937.54,6737.66,4037.6+2,709
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)3,8677.84,7787.76,5537.8+2,686
Young workforce (25 to 34)5,60911.47,32711.910,04511.9+4,436
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)8,76917.810,78817.514,96317.8+6,194
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)6,72513.67,41212.09,75911.6+3,034
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)6,34112.97,52112.29,43711.2+3,095
Seniors (70 to 84)5,35210.97,90112.810,98213.1+5,630
Elderly aged (85 and over)1,0732.21,5052.42,4692.9+1,396
Total persons49,295100.061,733100.084,150100.0+34,855

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2019.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 2,469 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2041: 10,982 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2041: 9,437 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2041: 9,759 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2041: 14,963 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2041: 10,045 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2041: 6,553 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2041: 6,403 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2041: 8,086 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 5,451 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 1,505 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 7,901 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 7,521 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 7,412 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 10,788 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 7,327 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 4,778 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 4,673 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 5,874 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 3,954 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 1,073 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 5,352 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 6,341 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 6,725 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 8,769 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 5,609 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 3,867 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 3,693 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 4,727 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 3,138
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 964 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2041: 3,082 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2041: 1,915 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2041: 2,347 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2041: 4,176 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2041: 2,718 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2041: 1,775 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2041: 1,730 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2041: 2,212 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 1,497 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 433 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2026: 2,549 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2026: 1,180 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2026: 687 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2026: 2,018 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2026: 1,718 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2026: 911 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2026: 979 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2026: 1,147 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 816
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.

Key findings

In Baw Baw Shire between 2016 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 2,943 (25.5%), and will comprise 23.5% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 4,161 (32.6%) and comprise 27.4% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 10,788 persons.

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