Baw Baw ShirePopulation forecast
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Baw Baw Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Baw Baw Shire indicate a 26.4% increase in population under working age, a 37.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 20.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Baw Baw Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Baw Baw Shire - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43,1386.43,9546.45,4516.5+2,313
5 to 93,4897.14,2126.85,8126.9+2,322
10 to 143,0336.24,0456.65,5686.6+2,535
15 to 193,0786.23,7176.05,0336.0+1,954
20 to 242,6865.43,3505.44,6305.5+1,943
25 to 292,8065.73,6075.84,9255.9+2,119
30 to 342,8035.73,7206.05,1216.1+2,317
35 to 392,6485.43,6625.95,0306.0+2,382
40 to 442,8895.93,5895.84,9735.9+2,084
45 to 493,2326.63,5375.74,9605.9+1,728
50 to 543,2866.73,6345.94,9075.8+1,621
55 to 593,4397.03,7786.14,8525.8+1,413
60 to 643,2026.53,7586.14,7485.6+1,546
65 to 693,1406.43,7636.14,6885.6+1,549
70 to 742,4885.03,3325.44,4275.3+1,940
75 to 791,7423.52,7494.53,7144.4+1,973
80 to 841,1232.31,8192.92,8413.4+1,718
85 and over1,0732.21,5052.42,4692.9+1,396
Total persons49,295100.061,733100.084,150100.0+34,855

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 2,469 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 2,841 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 3,714 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 4,427 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 4,688 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 4,748 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 4,852 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 4,907 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 4,960 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 4,973 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 5,030 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 5,121 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 4,925 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 4,630 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 5,033 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 5,568 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 5,812 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 5,451 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 1,505 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 1,819 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 2,749 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 3,332 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 3,763 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 3,758 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 3,778 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 3,634 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 3,537 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 3,589 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 3,662 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 3,720 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 3,607 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 3,350 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 3,717 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 4,045 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 4,212 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 3,954 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 1,073 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 1,123 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 1,742 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 2,488 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 3,140 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 3,202 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 3,439 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 3,286 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 3,232 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 2,889 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 2,648 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 2,803 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 2,806 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 2,686 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 3,078 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 3,033 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 3,489 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 3,138
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 964 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 1,021 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 965 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 1,095 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 925 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 990 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 1,074 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 1,273 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 1,423 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 1,385 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 1,368 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 1,401 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 1,318 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 1,279 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 1,315 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 1,524 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 1,599 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 1,497 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 433 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 697 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 1,007 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 845 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 623 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 557 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 339 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 348 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 305 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 699 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 1,014 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 916 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 802 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 664 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 639 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 1,012 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 723 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 816
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Baw Baw Shire was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 7.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 1,014 and account for 5.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 4,212 persons.

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