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Baw Baw ShirePopulation forecast

Warragul (South)

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Warragul (South) is 0-4 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2031 to 2036.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Baw Baw Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Generally consistent migration profile across the forecast period, with increasing rates of growth over the period due to a range of new housing opportunities
  • Gains of young family households (0-9 and 20-34 year olds)
  • Some gain of older childless couples, empty-nesters and retirees (35-74 years)

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