Baw Baw ShirePopulation forecast
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Baw Baw Shire

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Baw Baw Shire is forecast for the period from 2037 to 2041, which is expected to have a net increase of 7,901 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Baw Baw ShireForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--3,1363,5484,0064,4754,965
Deaths--2,0382,2772,5752,8773,166
Natural increase/decrease--1,0991,2711,4311,5971,799
Net migration--4,6055,2595,4975,7856,001
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--102102102102102

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2019.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 1,574 2040 forecast population change: 1,670 2039 forecast population change: 1,579 2038 forecast population change: 1,532 2037 forecast population change: 1,548 2036 forecast population change: 1,641 2035 forecast population change: 1,518 2034 forecast population change: 1,455 2033 forecast population change: 1,443 2032 forecast population change: 1,427 2031 forecast population change: 1,525 2030 forecast population change: 1,378 2029 forecast population change: 1,380 2028 forecast population change: 1,382 2027 forecast population change: 1,364 2026 forecast population change: 1,420 2025 forecast population change: 1,327 2024 forecast population change: 1,320 2023 forecast population change: 1,291 2022 forecast population change: 1,274 2021 forecast population change: 1,310 2020 forecast population change: 1,005 2019 forecast population change: 686 2018 forecast population change: 1,307 2017 forecast population change: 1,498
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 377 2040 Natural increase: 368 2039 Natural increase: 360 2038 Natural increase: 351 2037 Natural increase: 342 2036 Natural increase: 334 2035 Natural increase: 326 2034 Natural increase: 319 2033 Natural increase: 313 2032 Natural increase: 305 2031 Natural increase: 299 2030 Natural increase: 293 2029 Natural increase: 286 2028 Natural increase: 280 2027 Natural increase: 273 2026 Natural increase: 267 2025 Natural increase: 262 2024 Natural increase: 255 2023 Natural increase: 248 2022 Natural increase: 239 2021 Natural increase: 232 2020 Natural increase: 228 2019 Natural increase: 228 2018 Natural increase: 216 2017 Natural increase: 194 2041 Total deaths: 655 2040 Total deaths: 644 2039 Total deaths: 633 2038 Total deaths: 622 2037 Total deaths: 612 2036 Total deaths: 600 2035 Total deaths: 588 2034 Total deaths: 575 2033 Total deaths: 563 2032 Total deaths: 551 2031 Total deaths: 539 2030 Total deaths: 527 2029 Total deaths: 515 2028 Total deaths: 503 2027 Total deaths: 491 2026 Total deaths: 479 2025 Total deaths: 466 2024 Total deaths: 455 2023 Total deaths: 444 2022 Total deaths: 433 2021 Total deaths: 424 2020 Total deaths: 416 2019 Total deaths: 408 2018 Total deaths: 398 2017 Total deaths: 391 2041 Total births: 1,032 2040 Total births: 1,013 2039 Total births: 993 2038 Total births: 974 2037 Total births: 954 2036 Total births: 934 2035 Total births: 914 2034 Total births: 895 2033 Total births: 876 2032 Total births: 857 2031 Total births: 838 2030 Total births: 820 2029 Total births: 801 2028 Total births: 783 2027 Total births: 764 2026 Total births: 746 2025 Total births: 728 2024 Total births: 710 2023 Total births: 691 2022 Total births: 673 2021 Total births: 656 2020 Total births: 643 2019 Total births: 637 2018 Total births: 614 2017 Total births: 586 2041 Natural increase: 377 2040 Natural increase: 368 2039 Natural increase: 360 2038 Natural increase: 351 2037 Natural increase: 342 2036 Natural increase: 334 2035 Natural increase: 326 2034 Natural increase: 319 2033 Natural increase: 313 2032 Natural increase: 305 2031 Natural increase: 299 2030 Natural increase: 293 2029 Natural increase: 286 2028 Natural increase: 280 2027 Natural increase: 273 2026 Natural increase: 267 2025 Natural increase: 262 2024 Natural increase: 255 2023 Natural increase: 248 2022 Natural increase: 239 2021 Natural increase: 232 2020 Natural increase: 228 2019 Natural increase: 228 2018 Natural increase: 216 2017 Natural increase: 194 2041 Total deaths: 655 2040 Total deaths: 644 2039 Total deaths: 633 2038 Total deaths: 622 2037 Total deaths: 612 2036 Total deaths: 600 2035 Total deaths: 588 2034 Total deaths: 575 2033 Total deaths: 563 2032 Total deaths: 551 2031 Total deaths: 539 2030 Total deaths: 527 2029 Total deaths: 515 2028 Total deaths: 503 2027 Total deaths: 491 2026 Total deaths: 479 2025 Total deaths: 466 2024 Total deaths: 455 2023 Total deaths: 444 2022 Total deaths: 433 2021 Total deaths: 424 2020 Total deaths: 416 2019 Total deaths: 408 2018 Total deaths: 398 2017 Total deaths: 391 2041 Total births: 1,032 2040 Total births: 1,013 2039 Total births: 993 2038 Total births: 974 2037 Total births: 954 2036 Total births: 934 2035 Total births: 914 2034 Total births: 895 2033 Total births: 876 2032 Total births: 857 2031 Total births: 838 2030 Total births: 820 2029 Total births: 801 2028 Total births: 783 2027 Total births: 764 2026 Total births: 746 2025 Total births: 728 2024 Total births: 710 2023 Total births: 691 2022 Total births: 673 2021 Total births: 656 2020 Total births: 643 2019 Total births: 637 2018 Total births: 614 2017 Total births: 586
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: 1,196 2040 Total net migration: 1,200 2039 Total net migration: 1,219 2038 Total net migration: 1,181 2037 Total net migration: 1,206 2036 Total net migration: 1,205 2035 Total net migration: 1,192 2034 Total net migration: 1,136 2033 Total net migration: 1,130 2032 Total net migration: 1,122 2031 Total net migration: 1,124 2030 Total net migration: 1,086 2029 Total net migration: 1,094 2028 Total net migration: 1,103 2027 Total net migration: 1,091 2026 Total net migration: 1,051 2025 Total net migration: 1,066 2024 Total net migration: 1,065 2023 Total net migration: 1,043 2022 Total net migration: 1,034 2021 Total net migration: 976 2020 Total net migration: 777 2019 Total net migration: 457 2018 Total net migration: 1,091 2017 Total net migration: 1,304 2041 Total out migration: 7,624 2040 Total out migration: 7,476 2039 Total out migration: 7,328 2038 Total out migration: 7,185 2037 Total out migration: 7,035 2036 Total out migration: 6,885 2035 Total out migration: 6,741 2034 Total out migration: 6,602 2033 Total out migration: 6,461 2032 Total out migration: 6,326 2031 Total out migration: 6,185 2030 Total out migration: 6,055 2029 Total out migration: 5,920 2028 Total out migration: 5,788 2027 Total out migration: 5,653 2026 Total out migration: 5,519 2025 Total out migration: 5,386 2024 Total out migration: 5,251 2023 Total out migration: 5,120 2022 Total out migration: 4,996 2021 Total out migration: 4,877 2020 Total out migration: 4,791 2019 Total out migration: 4,746 2018 Total out migration: 4,625 2017 Total out migration: 4,441 2041 Total in migration: 8,820 2040 Total in migration: 8,676 2039 Total in migration: 8,547 2038 Total in migration: 8,365 2037 Total in migration: 8,241 2036 Total in migration: 8,090 2035 Total in migration: 7,933 2034 Total in migration: 7,738 2033 Total in migration: 7,591 2032 Total in migration: 7,448 2031 Total in migration: 7,309 2030 Total in migration: 7,140 2029 Total in migration: 7,014 2028 Total in migration: 6,890 2027 Total in migration: 6,745 2026 Total in migration: 6,570 2025 Total in migration: 6,452 2024 Total in migration: 6,317 2023 Total in migration: 6,164 2022 Total in migration: 6,030 2021 Total in migration: 5,853 2020 Total in migration: 5,569 2019 Total in migration: 5,203 2018 Total in migration: 5,716 2017 Total in migration: 5,745 2041 Total net migration: 1,196 2040 Total net migration: 1,200 2039 Total net migration: 1,219 2038 Total net migration: 1,181 2037 Total net migration: 1,206 2036 Total net migration: 1,205 2035 Total net migration: 1,192 2034 Total net migration: 1,136 2033 Total net migration: 1,130 2032 Total net migration: 1,122 2031 Total net migration: 1,124 2030 Total net migration: 1,086 2029 Total net migration: 1,094 2028 Total net migration: 1,103 2027 Total net migration: 1,091 2026 Total net migration: 1,051 2025 Total net migration: 1,066 2024 Total net migration: 1,065 2023 Total net migration: 1,043 2022 Total net migration: 1,034 2021 Total net migration: 976 2020 Total net migration: 777 2019 Total net migration: 457 2018 Total net migration: 1,091 2017 Total net migration: 1,304 2041 Total out migration: 7,624 2040 Total out migration: 7,476 2039 Total out migration: 7,328 2038 Total out migration: 7,185 2037 Total out migration: 7,035 2036 Total out migration: 6,885 2035 Total out migration: 6,741 2034 Total out migration: 6,602 2033 Total out migration: 6,461 2032 Total out migration: 6,326 2031 Total out migration: 6,185 2030 Total out migration: 6,055 2029 Total out migration: 5,920 2028 Total out migration: 5,788 2027 Total out migration: 5,653 2026 Total out migration: 5,519 2025 Total out migration: 5,386 2024 Total out migration: 5,251 2023 Total out migration: 5,120 2022 Total out migration: 4,996 2021 Total out migration: 4,877 2020 Total out migration: 4,791 2019 Total out migration: 4,746 2018 Total out migration: 4,625 2017 Total out migration: 4,441 2041 Total in migration: 8,820 2040 Total in migration: 8,676 2039 Total in migration: 8,547 2038 Total in migration: 8,365 2037 Total in migration: 8,241 2036 Total in migration: 8,090 2035 Total in migration: 7,933 2034 Total in migration: 7,738 2033 Total in migration: 7,591 2032 Total in migration: 7,448 2031 Total in migration: 7,309 2030 Total in migration: 7,140 2029 Total in migration: 7,014 2028 Total in migration: 6,890 2027 Total in migration: 6,745 2026 Total in migration: 6,570 2025 Total in migration: 6,452 2024 Total in migration: 6,317 2023 Total in migration: 6,164 2022 Total in migration: 6,030 2021 Total in migration: 5,853 2020 Total in migration: 5,569 2019 Total in migration: 5,203 2018 Total in migration: 5,716 2017 Total in migration: 5,745
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.
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