Bathurst Regional CouncilPopulation forecast
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Kelso (South)

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Kelso (South) will increase by an average of 11 dwellings per annum to 1,293 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Bathurst Regional. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2011-2016 dwelling additions are based on an assessment of major site activity and building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. Assumptions concerning development over the forecast period include:

  • Emerald Drive - 21 dwellings (2012-2018)
  • Orchard Hills Estate - 53 dwellings (2012-2023)
  • Kelso (South) Future Growth Stage 1 - 141 dwellings (2023-2036)
  • Low level of Infill/Minor site development (2-3 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 1,293 2035 Total dwellings: 1,269 2034 Total dwellings: 1,245 2033 Total dwellings: 1,225 2032 Total dwellings: 1,205 2031 Total dwellings: 1,193 2030 Total dwellings: 1,185 2029 Total dwellings: 1,177 2028 Total dwellings: 1,169 2027 Total dwellings: 1,161 2026 Total dwellings: 1,153 2025 Total dwellings: 1,145 2024 Total dwellings: 1,137 2023 Total dwellings: 1,129 2022 Total dwellings: 1,122 2021 Total dwellings: 1,115 2020 Total dwellings: 1,108 2019 Total dwellings: 1,101 2018 Total dwellings: 1,094 2017 Total dwellings: 1,087 2036 Total dwellings: 1,293 2035 Total dwellings: 1,269 2034 Total dwellings: 1,245 2033 Total dwellings: 1,225 2032 Total dwellings: 1,205 2031 Total dwellings: 1,193 2030 Total dwellings: 1,185 2029 Total dwellings: 1,177 2028 Total dwellings: 1,169 2027 Total dwellings: 1,161 2026 Total dwellings: 1,153 2025 Total dwellings: 1,145 2024 Total dwellings: 1,137 2023 Total dwellings: 1,129 2022 Total dwellings: 1,122 2021 Total dwellings: 1,115 2020 Total dwellings: 1,108 2019 Total dwellings: 1,101 2018 Total dwellings: 1,094 2017 Total dwellings: 1,087 2036 Forecast development: 24 2035 Forecast development: 24 2034 Forecast development: 20 2033 Forecast development: 20 2032 Forecast development: 12 2031 Forecast development: 8 2030 Forecast development: 8 2029 Forecast development: 8 2028 Forecast development: 8 2027 Forecast development: 8 2026 Forecast development: 8 2025 Forecast development: 8 2024 Forecast development: 8 2023 Forecast development: 7 2022 Forecast development: 7 2021 Forecast development: 7 2020 Forecast development: 7 2019 Forecast development: 7 2018 Forecast development: 7 2017 Forecast development: 7
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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