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Bathurst Regional CouncilPopulation forecast

Bathurst Regional Council

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2030, the age structure forecasts for Bathurst Regional Council indicate a 8.5% increase in population under working age, a 29.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 9.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Bathurst Regional Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Bathurst Regional Council - Total persons202120302041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42,5385.82,9546.03,3165.9+778
5 to 92,8106.43,0036.13,4786.1+668
10 to 143,0006.93,1016.33,6016.4+601
15 to 192,9276.73,2026.53,5656.3+637
20 to 242,9466.73,2826.73,4866.2+540
25 to 292,8276.53,1526.43,5336.2+707
30 to 342,9856.83,2816.63,7516.6+766
35 to 392,6576.13,1196.33,5876.3+930
40 to 442,4435.62,9255.93,3866.0+943
45 to 492,6856.12,8165.73,3145.9+629
50 to 542,6826.12,6685.43,2075.7+525
55 to 592,6456.12,8945.93,1475.6+503
60 to 642,6636.12,8095.73,0685.4+404
65 to 692,3235.32,7615.63,0245.3+700
70 to 742,0504.72,4084.92,7684.9+718
75 to 791,4883.42,0094.12,4304.3+943
80 to 841,0002.31,5413.11,9873.5+987
85 and over9962.31,4162.91,9123.4+916
Total persons43,666100.049,340100.056,560100.0+12,895
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Bathurst Regional Council was ages 10 to 14, which accounted for 6.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2030 is forecast to be in ages 80 to 84, which is expected to increase by 541 and account for 3.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2030 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 3,282 persons.

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