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Bathurst Regional CouncilPopulation forecast

Kelso (North) - Laffing Waters

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Kelso (North) - Laffing Waters indicate a 28.6% increase in males under working age, a 44.2% increase in males of retirement age, and a 35.7% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Bathurst Regional Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Kelso (North) - Laffing Waters - Total males202120312041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42426.63266.53896.1+147
5 to 92877.83647.34457.0+158
10 to 143208.74028.15007.9+181
15 to 192857.83597.24457.0+160
20 to 242105.72845.73525.5+141
25 to 292165.93086.23735.9+157
30 to 342256.13286.64036.3+178
35 to 392426.63386.84216.6+180
40 to 442155.83116.23966.2+181
45 to 492346.42945.93765.9+142
50 to 542025.52605.23455.4+143
55 to 591824.92635.33275.1+145
60 to 642105.72695.43375.3+127
65 to 691865.12434.93285.2+142
70 to 741213.32164.32834.5+163
75 to 791393.81843.72463.9+107
80 to 841052.91252.52183.4+113
85 and over571.61092.21742.7+117
Total persons3,679100.04,982100.06,359100.0+2,681
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Kelso (North) - Laffing Waters was ages 10 to 14, which accounted for 8.7% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 103 and account for 6.6% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2031 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 402 males.

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