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Bathurst Regional CouncilPopulation forecast

Bathurst Regional Council

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Bathurst Regional Council indicate a 21.1% increase in females under working age, a 38.5% increase in females of retirement age, and a 23.7% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Bathurst Regional Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Bathurst Regional Council - Total females201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,3136.31,6076.11,7896.0+476
5 to 91,4126.71,6716.31,9046.4+492
10 to 141,3756.61,6866.41,9296.5+554
15 to 191,5297.31,9217.32,1247.1+595
20 to 241,6387.82,0137.62,1627.3+524
25 to 291,3096.21,6446.21,8076.1+498
30 to 341,2145.81,5716.01,7715.9+557
35 to 391,1595.51,5736.01,7856.0+626
40 to 441,3126.21,6166.11,8336.2+521
45 to 491,3526.41,6106.11,8356.2+484
50 to 541,3126.21,5355.81,7685.9+456
55 to 591,3356.41,5295.81,7155.8+379
60 to 641,1405.41,4455.51,6095.4+469
65 to 691,0825.21,3335.11,5145.1+432
70 to 748163.91,1764.51,3284.5+512
75 to 796002.99583.61,1433.8+543
80 to 845122.47923.09473.2+434
85 and over5832.87162.78202.8+237
Total persons20,993100.026,397100.029,782100.0+8,789
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), October 2021.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for females in Bathurst Regional Council was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 7.8% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 415 and account for 6.0% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2031 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 2,013 females.

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