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Bass Coast ShirePopulation forecast

North Wonthaggi

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in North Wonthaggi will increase by an average of 57 dwellings per annum to 2,392 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Bass Coast Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2021 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2022 onwards:

  • College Estate - 65 dwellings (2014-2024)
  • Vicars Estate - 79 dwellings (2016-2027)
  • Summerfields Estate - 196 dwellings (2016-2032)
  • Oates Road Subdivision - 260 dwellings (2019-2035)
  • Proposed Future Urban - 320 dwellings (2028-2036)
  • Low-moderate level of infill development (4-14 dwellings per annum)

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