City of BanyulePopulation forecast
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Greensborough

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Greensborough will increase by an average of 55 dwellings per annum to 7,546 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Banyule. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2017 onwards:

  • 54-56 Main Street - 18 dwellings (2018)
  • Future potential major site development - 52 dwellings (2020-2021)
  • 273-275 Para Road - 75 dwellings (2021)
  • 24-26 Warwick Road - 23 dwellings (2022)
  • 4-6 Flintoff Street - 64 dwellings (2022)
  • 134 - 138 Main Street - 38 dwellings (2023)
  • Small sites - 9 dwellings
  • Low-high level of in-centre development (0-50 dwellings per annum)
  • High level of infill development (23-35 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 7,546 2035 Total dwellings: 7,521 2034 Total dwellings: 7,496 2033 Total dwellings: 7,471 2032 Total dwellings: 7,446 2031 Total dwellings: 7,421 2030 Total dwellings: 7,380 2029 Total dwellings: 7,325 2028 Total dwellings: 7,270 2027 Total dwellings: 7,205 2026 Total dwellings: 7,140 2025 Total dwellings: 7,075 2024 Total dwellings: 7,010 2023 Total dwellings: 6,936 2022 Total dwellings: 6,823 2021 Total dwellings: 6,711 2020 Total dwellings: 6,575 2019 Total dwellings: 6,534 2018 Total dwellings: 6,509 2017 Total dwellings: 6,468 2036 Total dwellings: 7,546 2035 Total dwellings: 7,521 2034 Total dwellings: 7,496 2033 Total dwellings: 7,471 2032 Total dwellings: 7,446 2031 Total dwellings: 7,421 2030 Total dwellings: 7,380 2029 Total dwellings: 7,325 2028 Total dwellings: 7,270 2027 Total dwellings: 7,205 2026 Total dwellings: 7,140 2025 Total dwellings: 7,075 2024 Total dwellings: 7,010 2023 Total dwellings: 6,936 2022 Total dwellings: 6,823 2021 Total dwellings: 6,711 2020 Total dwellings: 6,575 2019 Total dwellings: 6,534 2018 Total dwellings: 6,509 2017 Total dwellings: 6,468 2036 Forecast development: 25 2035 Forecast development: 25 2034 Forecast development: 25 2033 Forecast development: 25 2032 Forecast development: 25 2031 Forecast development: 41 2030 Forecast development: 55 2029 Forecast development: 55 2028 Forecast development: 65 2027 Forecast development: 65 2026 Forecast development: 65 2025 Forecast development: 65 2024 Forecast development: 74 2023 Forecast development: 113 2022 Forecast development: 112 2021 Forecast development: 136 2020 Forecast development: 41 2019 Forecast development: 25 2018 Forecast development: 41 2017 Forecast development: 23
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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