City of BanyulePopulation forecast
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City of Banyule

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in the City of Banyule is 'Seniors (70 to 84)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Banyule is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
City of Banyule - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)8,4206.68,7166.28,9936.1+572
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)10,9068.511,2758.111,6107.9+705
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)8,2046.49,5546.89,6536.6+1,448
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)11,1538.712,2878.812,8618.7+1,708
Young workforce (25 to 34)17,77813.919,26413.820,07213.6+2,294
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)26,68720.928,87520.629,90420.3+3,217
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)15,97912.516,81812.017,58312.0+1,604
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)13,69510.714,27210.214,90410.1+1,209
Seniors (70 to 84)11,6139.114,92610.716,45911.2+4,846
Elderly aged (85 and over)3,2642.64,0202.95,0603.4+1,795
Total persons127,699100.0140,006100.0147,098100.0+19,399

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 5,060 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2036: 16,459 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2036: 14,904 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2036: 17,583 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2036: 29,904 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2036: 20,072 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2036: 12,861 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2036: 9,653 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2036: 11,610 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 8,993 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 4,020 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 14,926 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 14,272 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 16,818 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 28,875 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 19,264 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 12,287 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 9,554 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 11,275 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 8,716 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 3,264 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 11,613 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 13,695 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 15,979 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 26,687 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 17,778 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 11,153 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 8,204 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 10,906 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 8,420
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 1,040 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2036: 1,533 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2036: 632 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2036: 765 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2036: 1,030 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2036: 808 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2036: 574 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2036: 99 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2036: 335 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 277 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 755 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2026: 3,313 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2026: 577 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2026: 839 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2026: 2,188 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2026: 1,486 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2026: 1,134 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2026: 1,349 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2026: 370 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 295
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In the City of Banyule between 2016 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 2,015 (7.3%), and will comprise 21.1% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 4,646 (16.3%) and comprise 23.7% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 28,875 persons.

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