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City of BanyulePopulation forecast

Greensborough

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Greensborough indicate a 12.3% increase in population under working age, a 0.5% decrease in population of retirement age, and a 15.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Banyule is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Greensborough - Total persons202120312041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 49926.21,1896.61,3756.7+383
5 to 91,0206.31,1546.41,3346.5+315
10 to 141,0096.31,0505.81,2286.0+219
15 to 198515.39635.31,1065.4+255
20 to 247134.48614.89454.6+232
25 to 298045.09715.41,1065.4+302
30 to 341,1547.21,2987.21,4947.3+339
35 to 391,3598.41,5498.61,7918.8+432
40 to 441,2157.61,5518.61,7828.7+567
45 to 491,1337.01,3967.71,6117.9+478
50 to 541,0456.51,1616.41,4277.0+382
55 to 598515.39635.31,1705.7+318
60 to 648255.18134.59174.5+92
65 to 698565.37134.08164.0-40
70 to 748855.57013.97263.6-159
75 to 796153.86643.75992.9-16
80 to 843872.45463.04732.3+86
85 and over3742.34772.65182.5+144
Total persons16,088100.018,022100.020,417100.0+4,329
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Greensborough was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 8.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 336 and account for 8.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 1,551 persons.

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