Ballina Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Ballina Shire

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Ballina Shire will increase by an average of 217 dwellings per annum to 23,702 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Ballina Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2036
Ballina ShireChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2036
Areanumber%
Ballina Shire+4,346+22.5
Alstonville+119+4.5
Ballina (Island)+296+7.6
Ballina (North)+302+39.3
Cumbalum - Tintenbar+736+91.0
East Ballina+80+2.9
Lennox Head+1,128+39.5
Skennars Head+599+114.2
Teven - Newrybar - Rural North+80+8.6
Wardell - Rural South+80+5.3
West Ballina+126+8.6
Wollongbar - Mcleans Ridges+800+66.8

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 23,702 2035 Total dwellings: 23,481 2034 Total dwellings: 23,259 2033 Total dwellings: 23,037 2032 Total dwellings: 22,818 2031 Total dwellings: 22,598 2030 Total dwellings: 22,378 2029 Total dwellings: 22,160 2028 Total dwellings: 21,946 2027 Total dwellings: 21,732 2026 Total dwellings: 21,524 2025 Total dwellings: 21,318 2024 Total dwellings: 21,112 2023 Total dwellings: 20,908 2022 Total dwellings: 20,706 2021 Total dwellings: 20,478 2020 Total dwellings: 20,252 2019 Total dwellings: 20,027 2018 Total dwellings: 19,803 2017 Total dwellings: 19,581 2036 Total dwellings: 23,702 2035 Total dwellings: 23,481 2034 Total dwellings: 23,259 2033 Total dwellings: 23,037 2032 Total dwellings: 22,818 2031 Total dwellings: 22,598 2030 Total dwellings: 22,378 2029 Total dwellings: 22,160 2028 Total dwellings: 21,946 2027 Total dwellings: 21,732 2026 Total dwellings: 21,524 2025 Total dwellings: 21,318 2024 Total dwellings: 21,112 2023 Total dwellings: 20,908 2022 Total dwellings: 20,706 2021 Total dwellings: 20,478 2020 Total dwellings: 20,252 2019 Total dwellings: 20,027 2018 Total dwellings: 19,803 2017 Total dwellings: 19,581 2036 Forecast development: 221 2035 Forecast development: 222 2034 Forecast development: 222 2033 Forecast development: 219 2032 Forecast development: 220 2031 Forecast development: 220 2030 Forecast development: 218 2029 Forecast development: 214 2028 Forecast development: 214 2027 Forecast development: 208 2026 Forecast development: 206 2025 Forecast development: 206 2024 Forecast development: 204 2023 Forecast development: 202 2022 Forecast development: 228 2021 Forecast development: 226 2020 Forecast development: 225 2019 Forecast development: 224 2018 Forecast development: 222 2017 Forecast development: 225
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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