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Ballina Shire CouncilPopulation forecast

Ballina Shire Council

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Ballina Shire Council indicate a 13.4% increase in population under working age, a 25.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 2.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Ballina Shire Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Ballina Shire Council - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42,2445.32,4875.32,6555.2+411
5 to 92,5596.02,8666.13,0576.0+499
10 to 142,4705.82,8936.23,1866.2+716
15 to 192,4615.82,4435.22,7175.3+256
20 to 241,7044.01,7033.61,9223.8+217
25 to 291,7844.21,7673.81,8463.6+62
30 to 342,0864.92,1504.62,2904.5+205
35 to 392,1645.12,7015.82,8915.6+727
40 to 442,6346.22,9456.33,1816.2+546
45 to 492,8236.62,8716.13,2936.4+470
50 to 543,0117.12,9296.23,2536.3+242
55 to 593,2047.53,0036.43,1716.2-33
60 to 643,1787.53,2116.93,2846.4+106
65 to 693,0727.23,3517.13,3356.5+263
70 to 742,3315.53,1496.73,2866.4+956
75 to 791,8184.32,7055.83,0275.9+1,209
80 to 841,3543.21,8694.02,4334.7+1,080
85 and over1,7334.11,8333.92,4124.7+679
Total persons42,629100.046,875100.051,238100.0+8,609
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Ballina Shire Council was ages 55 to 59, which accounted for 7.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 887 and account for 5.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 3,351 persons.

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