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Ballina Shire CouncilPopulation forecast

Wollongbar - Mcleans Ridges

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Wollongbar - Mcleans Ridges indicate a 42.1% increase in population under working age, a 39.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 26.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wollongbar - Mcleans Ridges is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Wollongbar - Mcleans Ridges - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)1705.72716.93016.3+132
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)33311.243811.150210.5+169
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)2458.23218.13968.3+151
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)2307.72215.62785.8+48
Young workforce (25 to 34)39013.041410.54649.8+75
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)54218.189222.61,07822.6+536
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)40113.446811.958112.2+179
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)34311.546711.854111.4+198
Seniors (70 to 84)2929.839610.053711.3+245
Elderly aged (85 and over)431.4551.4831.7+40
Total persons2,988100.03,943100.04,761100.0+1,773
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Wollongbar - Mcleans Ridges was ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which accounted for 18.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which is expected to increase by 350 and account for 22.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49) years, with a total of 892 persons.

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