Ballina Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Ballina Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Ballina Shire indicate a 13.4% increase in population under working age, a 25.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 2.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Ballina Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Ballina Shire - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 2,2445.32,4875.32,6555.2+411
5 to 9 2,5596.02,8666.13,0576.0+499
10 to 14 2,4705.82,8936.23,1866.2+716
15 to 19 2,4615.82,4435.22,7175.3+256
20 to 24 1,7044.01,7033.61,9223.8+217
25 to 29 1,7844.21,7673.81,8463.6+62
30 to 34 2,0864.92,1504.62,2904.5+205
35 to 39 2,1645.12,7015.82,8915.6+727
40 to 44 2,6346.22,9456.33,1816.2+546
45 to 49 2,8236.62,8716.13,2936.4+470
50 to 54 3,0117.12,9296.23,2536.3+242
55 to 59 3,2047.53,0036.43,1716.2-33
60 to 64 3,1787.53,2116.93,2846.4+106
65 to 69 3,0737.23,3517.13,3356.5+263
70 to 74 2,3315.53,1496.73,2866.4+956
75 to 79 1,8184.32,7055.83,0275.9+1,209
80 to 84 1,3543.21,8694.02,4334.7+1,080
85 and over1,7334.11,8333.92,4124.7+679
Total persons42,629100.046,875100.051,238100.0+8,609

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 2,412 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 2,433 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 3,027 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 3,286 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 3,335 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 3,284 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 3,171 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 3,253 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 3,293 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 3,181 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 2,891 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 2,290 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 1,846 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 1,922 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 2,717 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 3,186 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 3,057 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 2,655 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 1,833 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 1,869 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 2,705 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 3,149 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 3,351 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 3,211 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 3,003 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 2,929 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 2,871 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 2,945 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 2,701 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 2,150 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,767 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,703 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 2,443 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 2,893 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 2,866 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 2,487 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 1,733 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 1,354 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 1,818 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 2,331 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 3,073 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 3,178 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 3,204 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 3,011 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 2,823 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 2,634 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 2,164 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 2,086 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 1,784 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,704 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 2,461 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 2,470 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 2,559 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 2,244
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 579 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 565 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 322 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 137 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: -15 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 73 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 168 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 324 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 422 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 235 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 190 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 140 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 79 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 218 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 273 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 293 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 191 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 168 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 100 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 515 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 887 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 818 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 278 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 33 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -201 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -82 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 48 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 311 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 538 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 65 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -17 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -1 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -17 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 423 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 307 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 243
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Ballina Shire was ages 55 to 59 , which accounted for 7.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 887 and account for 5.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 3,351 persons.

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